Thursday, Sep 17

Priced Sep 15, 2026, 6:06 PM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 2–0

Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.

Final

DET

BUF

No pick

Spread W

BUF -4.5 -112

DraftKings · 100.0%

BUF covers the spread 100% vs DET 0%. Laying points (-4.5); best -112 at DraftKings.

Total points W

Over 53.5 -120

DraftKings · 70.0%

Total: Covers consensus 70% over 53.5. DET over 100% and BUF over 100%. Best -120 at DraftKings.

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

2–0

Day

4–6

Last 10

9–11

Last 20

0 / 1 / 1

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)

DET @ BUF BUF -4.5

DET @ BUF Over 53.5

−110

40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

#1 · Spread W

BUF -4.5 -112 · DraftKings

DET @ BUF · 100.0%

DET 31–41 BUF

BUF covers the spread 100% vs DET 0%. Laying points (-4.5); best -112 at DraftKings.

#2 · Total points W

Over 53.5 -120 · DraftKings

DET @ BUF · 70.0%

DET 31–41 BUF (72)

Total: Covers consensus 70% over 53.5. DET over 100% and BUF over 100%. Best -120 at DraftKings.

#	Type	Bet	Odds	Book	Cons. %	Score	Result	Why
1	Spread	BUF -4.5 DET @ BUF	-112	DraftKings	100.0	DET 31–41 BUF	W	BUF covers the spread 100% vs DET 0%. Laying points (-4.5); best -112 at DraftKings.
2	Total points	Over 53.5 DET @ BUF	-120	DraftKings	70.0	DET 31–41 BUF (72)	W	Total: Covers consensus 70% over 53.5. DET over 100% and BUF over 100%. Best -120 at DraftKings.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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