← NFL picks · Week 5

Thursday, Oct 8

Priced Oct 8, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 0–1

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

0–1

Day

4–6

Last 10

9–11

Last 20

0 / 0 / 1

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
TB @ DAL DAL -8.5
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread L

DAL -8.5 -105 · FanDuel

TB @ DAL · 75.0%

TB 24–16 DAL

DAL covers the spread 75% vs TB 0%. Laying points (-8.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread DAL -8.5 TB @ DAL -105 FanDuel 75.0 TB 24–16 DAL L DAL covers the spread 75% vs TB 0%. Laying points (-8.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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