Monday, Sep 14

Priced Sep 14, 2026, 1:05 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 3–1

ML, total, and run line when signals stack — best book price.

LAD @ CIN

ML W

LAD ML -210

Best available · 76.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: Covers consensus 76% LAD (-210), and LAD wins 60.4% vs CIN 47%.

DET @ TOR

ML L

TOR ML -130

Best available · 72.0%

ML: Covers consensus 72% TOR (-130), and TOR wins 50% vs DET 47%.

NYY @ MIN

ML W

NYY ML -132

Best available · 70.0%

ML: Covers consensus 70% NYY (-132), and NYY wins 57.7% vs MIN 47%.

SD @ COL

ML W

SD ML -185

Best available · 68.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: Covers consensus 68% SD (-185), and SD wins 54.4% vs COL 36.9%.

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

1–1

Day

4–6

Last 10

9–11

Last 20

2 / 0 / 0

ML / totals / RL

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on run lines) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)

DET @ TOR TOR ML

NYY @ MIN NYY ML

−110

40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

#1 · ML L

TOR ML -130

DET @ TOR · 72.0%

DET 6–5 TOR

ML: Covers consensus 72% TOR (-130), and TOR wins 50% vs DET 47%.

#2 · ML W

NYY ML -132

NYY @ MIN · 70.0%

NYY 8–3 MIN

ML: Covers consensus 70% NYY (-132), and NYY wins 57.7% vs MIN 47%.

#	Type	Bet	Odds	Book	Cons. %	Score	Result	Why
1	ML	TOR ML DET @ TOR	-130	—	72.0	DET 6–5 TOR	L	ML: Covers consensus 72% TOR (-130), and TOR wins 50% vs DET 47%.
2	ML	NYY ML NYY @ MIN	-132	—	70.0	NYY 8–3 MIN	W	ML: Covers consensus 70% NYY (-132), and NYY wins 57.7% vs MIN 47%.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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