Friday, Oct 16

Priced Oct 16, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 2–2

Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.

Final

MEM @ TULN

MEM

TULN

ML L

MEM ML -270

DraftKings · 83.3% · lean only (past -160)

ML: MEM best -270 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 83.3% vs TULN 40%.

Spread L

MEM -6.5 -120

Hard Rock Bet · 66.7%

MEM covers the spread 66.7% vs TULN 40%. Laying points (-6.5); best -120 at Hard Rock Bet.

Total points

No pick

Final

APP @ CCU

APP

CCU

ML W

APP ML -115

FanDuel · 60.0%

ML: APP best -115 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 60% vs CCU 33.3%.

Spread W

APP -1.5 -108

DraftKings · 60.0%

APP covers the spread 60% vs CCU 50%. Laying points (-1.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

Total points

No pick

Final

WASH @ PUR

WASH

PUR

No pick

Spread L

PUR -3.5 -105

DraftKings · 50.0%

PUR covers the spread 50% vs WASH 16.7%. Laying points (-3.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

Total points

No pick

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

2–2

Day

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

1 / 0 / 3

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)

MEM @ TULN MEM -6.5

APP @ CCU APP ML

APP @ CCU APP -1.5

WASH @ PUR PUR -3.5

−110

40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

#1 · Spread L

MEM -6.5 -120 · Hard Rock Bet

MEM @ TULN · 66.7%

MEM 17–31 TULN

MEM covers the spread 66.7% vs TULN 40%. Laying points (-6.5); best -120 at Hard Rock Bet.

#2 · ML W

APP ML -115 · FanDuel

APP @ CCU · 60.0%

APP 35–32 CCU

ML: APP best -115 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 60% vs CCU 33.3%.

#3 · Spread W

APP -1.5 -108 · DraftKings

APP @ CCU · 60.0%

APP 35–32 CCU

APP covers the spread 60% vs CCU 50%. Laying points (-1.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#4 · Spread L

PUR -3.5 -105 · DraftKings

WASH @ PUR · 50.0%

WASH 38–26 PUR

PUR covers the spread 50% vs WASH 16.7%. Laying points (-3.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

#	Type	Bet	Odds	Book	Cons. %	Score	Result	Why
1	Spread	MEM -6.5 MEM @ TULN	-120	Hard Rock Bet	66.7	MEM 17–31 TULN	L	MEM covers the spread 66.7% vs TULN 40%. Laying points (-6.5); best -120 at Hard Rock Bet.
2	ML	APP ML APP @ CCU	-115	FanDuel	60.0	APP 35–32 CCU	W	ML: APP best -115 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 60% vs CCU 33.3%.
3	Spread	APP -1.5 APP @ CCU	-108	DraftKings	60.0	APP 35–32 CCU	W	APP covers the spread 60% vs CCU 50%. Laying points (-1.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
4	Spread	PUR -3.5 WASH @ PUR	-105	DraftKings	50.0	WASH 38–26 PUR	L	PUR covers the spread 50% vs WASH 16.7%. Laying points (-3.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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