← NCAAF picks

Week 7

Oct 7 – Oct 10

All NCAAF picks for this week. Graded live from ESPN.

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

16–26

Week

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

3 / 14 / 25

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
JMU @ GASO JMU -7.5
KU @ UTA UTA -15.5
SDSU @ ORST ORST -16.5
NDSU @ UNLV NDSU ML
DUKE @ GT DUKE -6.5
UCLA @ ORE UCLA +10.5
MINN @ PUR MINN ML
MINN @ PUR MINN -2.5
MD @ OSU OSU -33.5
LSU @ UK UK +8.5
ARIZ @ WVU ARIZ ML
UNC @ PITT PITT -3.5
ODU @ APP APP -9.5
STAN @ ND Over 54.5
UCLA @ ORE Over 58.5
LSU @ UK Over 50.5
UGA @ ALA Over 51.5
JMU @ GASO Over 51.5
BUFF @ TOL Over 55.5
IU @ NEB Over 47.5
MD @ OSU Over 56.5
HOU @ KSU Over 55.5
IOWA @ WASH Under 41.5
WYO @ SJSU SJSU -4.5
IOWA @ WASH IOWA +2.5
UAB @ MEM MEM -14.5
SYR @ UVA UVA -11.5
TENN @ ARK TENN -13.5
STAN @ ND ND -39.5
VT @ CAL VT -9.5
SDSU @ ORST Over 52.5
RICE @ ECU Under 46.5
WYO @ SJSU Under 42.5
CCU @ MRSH Over 58.5
HAW @ ASU ASU -20.5
EMU @ AKR EMU -5.5
BUFF @ TOL TOL -18.5
ARIZ @ WVU WVU +3.5
NEV @ UTEP NEV -9.5
HOU @ KSU KSU -2.5
AFA @ NIU AFA -7.5
TULN @ ARMY ARMY -3.5
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread L

JMU -7.5 -105 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · JMU @ GASO · 100.0%

JMU 27–24 GASO

JMU covers the spread 100% vs GASO 80%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

#2 · Spread W

UTA -15.5 -110 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · KU @ UTA · 100.0%

KU 24–41 UTAH

UTA covers the spread 100% vs KU 50%. Laying points (-15.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#3 · Spread W

ORST -16.5 -108 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · SDSU @ ORST · 100.0%

SDSU 14–66 ORST

ORST covers the spread 100% vs SDSU 20%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#4 · ML L

NDSU ML -135 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · NDSU @ UNLV · 100.0%

NDSU 7–13 UNLV

ML: NDSU best -135 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 100% vs UNLV 60%.

#5 · Spread L

DUKE -6.5 -106 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · DUKE @ GT · 100.0%

DUKE 25–28 GT

DUKE covers the spread 100% vs GT 0%. Laying points (-6.5); best -106 at FanDuel.

#6 · Spread W

UCLA +10.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · UCLA @ ORE · 100.0%

UCLA 17–15 ORE

UCLA covers the spread 100% vs ORE 50%. Taking points (+10.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#7 · ML L

MINN ML -135 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · MINN @ PUR · 80.0%

MINN 13–41 PUR

ML: MINN best -135 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 80% vs PUR 40%.

#8 · Spread L

MINN -2.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · MINN @ PUR · 80.0%

MINN 13–41 PUR

MINN covers the spread 80% vs PUR 40%. Laying points (-2.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#9 · Spread L

OSU -33.5 -108 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · MD @ OSU · 80.0%

MD 16–45 OSU

OSU covers the spread 80% vs MD 40%. Laying points (-33.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#10 · Spread W

UK +8.5 -108 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · LSU @ UK · 80.0%

LSU 34–35 UK

UK covers the spread 80% vs LSU 40%. Taking points (+8.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#11 · ML W

ARIZ ML -160 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · ARIZ @ WVU · 80.0%

ARIZ 52–31 WVU

ML: ARIZ best -160 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 80% vs WVU 60%.

#12 · Spread L

PITT -3.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · UNC @ PITT · 80.0%

UNC 21–17 PITT

PITT covers the spread 80% vs UNC 50%. Laying points (-3.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#13 · Spread L

APP -9.5 -115 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · ODU @ APP · 75.0%

ODU 10–3 APP

APP covers the spread 75% vs ODU 0%. Laying points (-9.5); best -115 at FanDuel.

#14 · Total points W

Over 54.5 -108 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · STAN @ ND · 74.0%

STAN 7–58 ND (65)

Total: Covers consensus 74% over 54.5. STAN over 80% and ND over 60%. Best -108 at FanDuel.

#15 · Total points L

Over 58.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · UCLA @ ORE · 73.0%

UCLA 17–15 ORE (32)

Total: Covers consensus 73% over 58.5. UCLA over 75% and ORE over 100%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#16 · Total points W

Over 50.5 -112 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · LSU @ UK · 73.0%

LSU 34–35 UK (69)

Total: Covers consensus 73% over 50.5. LSU over 60% and UK over 80%. Best -112 at FanDuel.

#17 · Total points L

Over 51.5 -108 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · UGA @ ALA · 71.0%

UGA 20–17 ALA (37)

Total: Covers consensus 71% over 51.5. UGA over 100% and ALA over 100%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

#18 · Total points L

Over 51.5 -110 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · JMU @ GASO · 69.0%

JMU 27–24 GASO (51)

Total: Covers consensus 69% over 51.5. JMU over 60% and GASO over 60%. Best -110 at DraftKings.

#19 · Total points L

Over 55.5 -102 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · BUFF @ TOL · 69.0%

BUFF 23–8 TOL (31)

Total: Covers consensus 69% over 55.5. BUFF over 60% and TOL over 100%. Best -102 at FanDuel.

#20 · Total points L

Over 47.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · IU @ NEB · 68.0%

IU 20–17 NEB (37)

Total: Covers consensus 68% over 47.5. IU over 60% and NEB over 60%. Best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.

#21 · Total points W

Over 56.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · MD @ OSU · 67.0%

MD 16–45 OSU (61)

Total: Covers consensus 67% over 56.5. MD over 80% and OSU over 60%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#22 · Total points L

Over 55.5 -102 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · HOU @ KSU · 66.0%

HOU 35–16 KSU (51)

Total: Covers consensus 66% over 55.5. HOU over 80% and KSU over 75%. Best -102 at DraftKings.

#23 · Total points L

Under 41.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

Friday, Oct 9 · IOWA @ WASH · 62.0%

IOWA 41–24 WASH (65)

Total: Covers consensus 62% under 41.5. IOWA under 80% and WASH under 60%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#24 · Spread L

SJSU -4.5 -108 · DraftKings

Friday, Oct 9 · WYO @ SJSU · 60.0%

WYO 16–13 SJSU

SJSU covers the spread 60% vs WYO 20%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#25 · Spread W

IOWA +2.5 +100 · FanDuel

Friday, Oct 9 · IOWA @ WASH · 60.0%

IOWA 41–24 WASH

IOWA covers the spread 60% vs WASH 20%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel.

#26 · Spread W

MEM -14.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · UAB @ MEM · 60.0%

UAB 13–38 MEM

MEM covers the spread 60% vs UAB 50%. Laying points (-14.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#27 · Spread L

UVA -11.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · SYR @ UVA · 60.0%

SYR 25–28 UVA

UVA covers the spread 60% vs SYR 25%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#28 · Spread L

TENN -13.5 -110 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · TENN @ ARK · 60.0%

TENN 24–17 ARK

TENN covers the spread 60% vs ARK 20%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at FanDuel.

#29 · Spread W

ND -39.5 -105 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · STAN @ ND · 60.0%

STAN 7–58 ND

ND covers the spread 60% vs STAN 40%. Laying points (-39.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

#30 · Spread L

VT -9.5 -115 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · VT @ CAL · 60.0%

VT 20–25 CAL

VT covers the spread 60% vs CAL 20%. Laying points (-9.5); best -115 at FanDuel.

#31 · Total points W

Over 52.5 -108 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · SDSU @ ORST · 59.0%

SDSU 14–66 ORST (80)

Total: Covers consensus 59% over 52.5. SDSU over 60% and ORST over 80%. Best -108 at FanDuel.

#32 · Total points W

Under 46.5 -110 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · RICE @ ECU · 57.0%

RICE 12–28 ECU (40)

Total: Covers consensus 57% under 46.5. RICE under 60% and ECU under 75%. Best -110 at DraftKings.

#33 · Total points W

Under 42.5 -108 · DraftKings

Friday, Oct 9 · WYO @ SJSU · 55.0%

WYO 16–13 SJSU (29)

Total: Covers consensus 55% under 42.5. WYO under 80% and SJSU under 80%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

#34 · Total points L

Over 58.5 -108 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · CCU @ MRSH · 51.0%

CCU 27–21 MRSH (48)

Total: Covers consensus 51% over 58.5. CCU over 60% and MRSH over 60%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

#35 · Spread L

ASU -20.5 -118 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · HAW @ ASU · 50.0%

HAW 12–30 ASU

ASU covers the spread 50% vs HAW 20%. Laying points (-20.5); best -118 at FanDuel.

#36 · Spread L

EMU -5.5 -110 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · EMU @ AKR · 50.0%

EMU 25–23 AKR

EMU covers the spread 50% vs AKR 40%. Laying points (-5.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#37 · Spread L

TOL -18.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · BUFF @ TOL · 50.0%

BUFF 23–8 TOL

TOL covers the spread 50% vs BUFF 20%. Laying points (-18.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#38 · Spread L

WVU +3.5 -108 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · ARIZ @ WVU · 50.0%

ARIZ 52–31 WVU

WVU covers the spread 50% vs ARIZ 20%. Taking points (+3.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#39 · Spread W

NEV -9.5 -110 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · NEV @ UTEP · 50.0%

NEV 30–13 UTEP

NEV covers the spread 50% vs UTEP 20%. Laying points (-9.5); best -110 at FanDuel.

#40 · Spread L

KSU -2.5 -110 · DraftKings

Saturday, Oct 10 · HOU @ KSU · 50.0%

HOU 35–16 KSU

KSU covers the spread 50% vs HOU 40%. Laying points (-2.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#41 · Spread W

AFA -7.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

Saturday, Oct 10 · AFA @ NIU · 50.0%

AFA 28–7 NIU

AFA covers the spread 50% vs NIU 25%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#42 · Spread L

ARMY -3.5 -105 · FanDuel

Saturday, Oct 10 · TULN @ ARMY · 33.3%

TULN 17–20 ARMY

ARMY covers the spread 33.3% vs TULN 25%. Laying points (-3.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread JMU -7.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · JMU @ GASO -105 DraftKings 100.0 JMU 27–24 GASO L JMU covers the spread 100% vs GASO 80%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
2 Spread UTA -15.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · KU @ UTA -110 DraftKings 100.0 KU 24–41 UTAH W UTA covers the spread 100% vs KU 50%. Laying points (-15.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
3 Spread ORST -16.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · SDSU @ ORST -108 DraftKings 100.0 SDSU 14–66 ORST W ORST covers the spread 100% vs SDSU 20%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
4 ML NDSU ML Saturday, Oct 10 · NDSU @ UNLV -135 DraftKings 100.0 NDSU 7–13 UNLV L ML: NDSU best -135 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 100% vs UNLV 60%.
5 Spread DUKE -6.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · DUKE @ GT -106 FanDuel 100.0 DUKE 25–28 GT L DUKE covers the spread 100% vs GT 0%. Laying points (-6.5); best -106 at FanDuel.
6 Spread UCLA +10.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · UCLA @ ORE -110 Hard Rock Bet 100.0 UCLA 17–15 ORE W UCLA covers the spread 100% vs ORE 50%. Taking points (+10.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
7 ML MINN ML Saturday, Oct 10 · MINN @ PUR -135 Hard Rock Bet 80.0 MINN 13–41 PUR L ML: MINN best -135 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 80% vs PUR 40%.
8 Spread MINN -2.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · MINN @ PUR -110 Hard Rock Bet 80.0 MINN 13–41 PUR L MINN covers the spread 80% vs PUR 40%. Laying points (-2.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
9 Spread OSU -33.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · MD @ OSU -108 DraftKings 80.0 MD 16–45 OSU L OSU covers the spread 80% vs MD 40%. Laying points (-33.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
10 Spread UK +8.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · LSU @ UK -108 DraftKings 80.0 LSU 34–35 UK W UK covers the spread 80% vs LSU 40%. Taking points (+8.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
11 ML ARIZ ML Saturday, Oct 10 · ARIZ @ WVU -160 FanDuel 80.0 ARIZ 52–31 WVU W ML: ARIZ best -160 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 80% vs WVU 60%.
12 Spread PITT -3.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · UNC @ PITT -110 Hard Rock Bet 80.0 UNC 21–17 PITT L PITT covers the spread 80% vs UNC 50%. Laying points (-3.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
13 Spread APP -9.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · ODU @ APP -115 FanDuel 75.0 ODU 10–3 APP L APP covers the spread 75% vs ODU 0%. Laying points (-9.5); best -115 at FanDuel.
14 Total points Over 54.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · STAN @ ND -108 FanDuel 74.0 STAN 7–58 ND (65) W Total: Covers consensus 74% over 54.5. STAN over 80% and ND over 60%. Best -108 at FanDuel.
15 Total points Over 58.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · UCLA @ ORE -105 Hard Rock Bet 73.0 UCLA 17–15 ORE (32) L Total: Covers consensus 73% over 58.5. UCLA over 75% and ORE over 100%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
16 Total points Over 50.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · LSU @ UK -112 FanDuel 73.0 LSU 34–35 UK (69) W Total: Covers consensus 73% over 50.5. LSU over 60% and UK over 80%. Best -112 at FanDuel.
17 Total points Over 51.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · UGA @ ALA -108 DraftKings 71.0 UGA 20–17 ALA (37) L Total: Covers consensus 71% over 51.5. UGA over 100% and ALA over 100%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
18 Total points Over 51.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · JMU @ GASO -110 DraftKings 69.0 JMU 27–24 GASO (51) L Total: Covers consensus 69% over 51.5. JMU over 60% and GASO over 60%. Best -110 at DraftKings.
19 Total points Over 55.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · BUFF @ TOL -102 FanDuel 69.0 BUFF 23–8 TOL (31) L Total: Covers consensus 69% over 55.5. BUFF over 60% and TOL over 100%. Best -102 at FanDuel.
20 Total points Over 47.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · IU @ NEB -115 Hard Rock Bet 68.0 IU 20–17 NEB (37) L Total: Covers consensus 68% over 47.5. IU over 60% and NEB over 60%. Best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
21 Total points Over 56.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · MD @ OSU -105 Hard Rock Bet 67.0 MD 16–45 OSU (61) W Total: Covers consensus 67% over 56.5. MD over 80% and OSU over 60%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
22 Total points Over 55.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · HOU @ KSU -102 DraftKings 66.0 HOU 35–16 KSU (51) L Total: Covers consensus 66% over 55.5. HOU over 80% and KSU over 75%. Best -102 at DraftKings.
23 Total points Under 41.5 Friday, Oct 9 · IOWA @ WASH -110 Hard Rock Bet 62.0 IOWA 41–24 WASH (65) L Total: Covers consensus 62% under 41.5. IOWA under 80% and WASH under 60%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
24 Spread SJSU -4.5 Friday, Oct 9 · WYO @ SJSU -108 DraftKings 60.0 WYO 16–13 SJSU L SJSU covers the spread 60% vs WYO 20%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
25 Spread IOWA +2.5 Friday, Oct 9 · IOWA @ WASH +100 FanDuel 60.0 IOWA 41–24 WASH W IOWA covers the spread 60% vs WASH 20%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel.
26 Spread MEM -14.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · UAB @ MEM -105 Hard Rock Bet 60.0 UAB 13–38 MEM W MEM covers the spread 60% vs UAB 50%. Laying points (-14.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
27 Spread UVA -11.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · SYR @ UVA -105 Hard Rock Bet 60.0 SYR 25–28 UVA L UVA covers the spread 60% vs SYR 25%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
28 Spread TENN -13.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · TENN @ ARK -110 FanDuel 60.0 TENN 24–17 ARK L TENN covers the spread 60% vs ARK 20%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
29 Spread ND -39.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · STAN @ ND -105 FanDuel 60.0 STAN 7–58 ND W ND covers the spread 60% vs STAN 40%. Laying points (-39.5); best -105 at FanDuel.
30 Spread VT -9.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · VT @ CAL -115 FanDuel 60.0 VT 20–25 CAL L VT covers the spread 60% vs CAL 20%. Laying points (-9.5); best -115 at FanDuel.
31 Total points Over 52.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · SDSU @ ORST -108 FanDuel 59.0 SDSU 14–66 ORST (80) W Total: Covers consensus 59% over 52.5. SDSU over 60% and ORST over 80%. Best -108 at FanDuel.
32 Total points Under 46.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · RICE @ ECU -110 DraftKings 57.0 RICE 12–28 ECU (40) W Total: Covers consensus 57% under 46.5. RICE under 60% and ECU under 75%. Best -110 at DraftKings.
33 Total points Under 42.5 Friday, Oct 9 · WYO @ SJSU -108 DraftKings 55.0 WYO 16–13 SJSU (29) W Total: Covers consensus 55% under 42.5. WYO under 80% and SJSU under 80%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
34 Total points Over 58.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · CCU @ MRSH -108 DraftKings 51.0 CCU 27–21 MRSH (48) L Total: Covers consensus 51% over 58.5. CCU over 60% and MRSH over 60%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
35 Spread ASU -20.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · HAW @ ASU -118 FanDuel 50.0 HAW 12–30 ASU L ASU covers the spread 50% vs HAW 20%. Laying points (-20.5); best -118 at FanDuel.
36 Spread EMU -5.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · EMU @ AKR -110 DraftKings 50.0 EMU 25–23 AKR L EMU covers the spread 50% vs AKR 40%. Laying points (-5.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
37 Spread TOL -18.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · BUFF @ TOL -110 Hard Rock Bet 50.0 BUFF 23–8 TOL L TOL covers the spread 50% vs BUFF 20%. Laying points (-18.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
38 Spread WVU +3.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · ARIZ @ WVU -108 DraftKings 50.0 ARIZ 52–31 WVU L WVU covers the spread 50% vs ARIZ 20%. Taking points (+3.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
39 Spread NEV -9.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · NEV @ UTEP -110 FanDuel 50.0 NEV 30–13 UTEP W NEV covers the spread 50% vs UTEP 20%. Laying points (-9.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
40 Spread KSU -2.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · HOU @ KSU -110 DraftKings 50.0 HOU 35–16 KSU L KSU covers the spread 50% vs HOU 40%. Laying points (-2.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
41 Spread AFA -7.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · AFA @ NIU -105 Hard Rock Bet 50.0 AFA 28–7 NIU W AFA covers the spread 50% vs NIU 25%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
42 Spread ARMY -3.5 Saturday, Oct 10 · TULN @ ARMY -105 FanDuel 33.3 TULN 17–20 ARMY L ARMY covers the spread 33.3% vs TULN 25%. Laying points (-3.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

Days: Wednesday, Oct 7 · Thursday, Oct 8 · Friday, Oct 9 · Saturday, Oct 10

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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