Sunday, Oct 18

Priced Oct 18, 2026, 4:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 9–8

Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.

Final

HOU @ JAX

HOU

JAX

ML L

JAX ML -142

DraftKings · 80.0%

ML: JAX best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 80% vs HOU 20%.

Spread L

JAX -2.5 -118

DraftKings · 60.0%

JAX covers the spread 60% vs HOU 20%. Laying points (-2.5); best -118 at DraftKings.

Total points

No pick

Final

BAL @ CLE

BAL

CLE

ML L

BAL ML -166

DraftKings · 80.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: BAL best -166 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 80% vs CLE 60%.

Spread W

CLE +3.5 -128

FanDuel · 60.0%

CLE covers the spread 60% vs BAL 40%. Taking points (+3.5); best -128 at FanDuel.

Total points L

Over 39.5 -105

FanDuel · 53.0%

Total: Covers consensus 53% over 39.5. BAL over 60% and CLE over 60%. Best -105 at FanDuel.

Final

CAR @ PHI

CAR

PHI

ML W

CAR ML -166

DraftKings · 50.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: CAR best -166 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 50% vs PHI 40%.

Spread W

CAR -3.5 +100

Hard Rock Bet · 50.0%

CAR covers the spread 50% vs PHI 20%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

Total points

No pick

Final

CHI @ ATL

CHI

ATL

ML W

CHI ML -115

Hard Rock Bet · 60.0%

ML: CHI best -115 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 60% vs ATL 40%.

Spread

No pick

Total points

No pick

Final

NO @ NYG

NYG

ML L

NYG ML -106

FanDuel · 75.0%

ML: NYG best -106 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 75% vs NO 20%.

Spread L

NYG -1.5 +102

DraftKings · 80.0%

NYG covers the spread 80% vs NO 40%. Laying points (-1.5); best +102 at DraftKings.

Total points W

Over 45.5 -110

FanDuel · 55.0%

Total: Covers consensus 55% over 45.5. NO over 60% and NYG over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

Final

NYJ @ NE

NYJ

ML W

NE ML -350

FanDuel · 60.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: NE best -350 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 60% vs NYJ 40%.

Spread

No pick

Total points L

Under 43.5 -108

DraftKings · 51.0%

Total: Covers consensus 51% under 43.5. NYJ under 80% and NE under 60%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

Final/OT

PIT @ TB

PIT

ML W

PIT ML -145

Hard Rock Bet · 60.0%

ML: PIT best -145 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 60% vs TB 20%.

Spread W

PIT -2.5 -112

FanDuel · 60.0%

PIT covers the spread 60% vs TB 20%. Laying points (-2.5); best -112 at FanDuel.

Total points

No pick

Final

TEN @ IND

TEN

IND

ML L

IND ML -325

DraftKings · 40.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: IND best -325 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 40% vs TEN 0%.

Spread L

IND -6.5 -115

Hard Rock Bet · 60.0%

IND covers the spread 60% vs TEN 40%. Laying points (-6.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.

Total points

No pick

Final

ARI @ LA

ARI

ML L

LA ML -800

DraftKings · 40.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: LA best -800 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 40% vs ARI 20%.

Spread

No pick

Total points L

Over 51.5 -110

FanDuel · 68.0%

Total: Covers consensus 68% over 51.5. ARI over 60% and LA over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

Final

BUF @ LV

BUF

ML W

BUF ML -245

FanDuel · 80.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: BUF best -245 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 80% vs LV 60%.

Spread

No pick

Total points W

Over 53.5 -110

FanDuel · 71.0%

Total: Covers consensus 71% over 53.5. BUF over 80% and LV over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

Final

LAC @ KC

LAC

ML W

KC ML -390

FanDuel · 100.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: KC best -390 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 100% vs LAC 0%.

Spread W

KC -7.5 -105

FanDuel · 50.0%

KC covers the spread 50% vs LAC 0%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

Total points

No pick

Final

DAL @ GB

DAL

ML W

GB ML -115

DraftKings · 60.0%

ML: GB best -115 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 60% vs DAL 40%.

Spread

No pick

Total points

No pick

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

9–8

Day

4–6

Last 10

9–11

Last 20

5 / 5 / 7

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)

HOU @ JAX JAX ML

NO @ NYG NYG -1.5

NO @ NYG NYG ML

BUF @ LV Over 53.5

ARI @ LA Over 51.5

TEN @ IND IND -6.5

HOU @ JAX JAX -2.5

CHI @ ATL CHI ML

PIT @ TB PIT ML

PIT @ TB PIT -2.5

DAL @ GB GB ML

BAL @ CLE CLE +3.5

NO @ NYG Over 45.5

BAL @ CLE Over 39.5

NYJ @ NE Under 43.5

LAC @ KC KC -7.5

CAR @ PHI CAR -3.5

−110

40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

#1 · ML L

JAX ML -142 · DraftKings

HOU @ JAX · 80.0%

HOU 34–31 JAX

ML: JAX best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 80% vs HOU 20%.

#2 · Spread L

NYG -1.5 +102 · DraftKings

NO @ NYG · 80.0%

NO 34–27 NYG

NYG covers the spread 80% vs NO 40%. Laying points (-1.5); best +102 at DraftKings.

#3 · ML L

NYG ML -106 · FanDuel

NO @ NYG · 75.0%

NO 34–27 NYG

ML: NYG best -106 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 75% vs NO 20%.

#4 · Total points W

Over 53.5 -110 · FanDuel

BUF @ LV · 71.0%

BUF 33–30 LV (63)

Total: Covers consensus 71% over 53.5. BUF over 80% and LV over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#5 · Total points L

Over 51.5 -110 · FanDuel

ARI @ LA · 68.0%

ARI 18–16 LAR (34)

Total: Covers consensus 68% over 51.5. ARI over 60% and LA over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#6 · Spread L

IND -6.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet

TEN @ IND · 60.0%

TEN 26–20 IND

IND covers the spread 60% vs TEN 40%. Laying points (-6.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.

#7 · Spread L

JAX -2.5 -118 · DraftKings

HOU @ JAX · 60.0%

HOU 34–31 JAX

JAX covers the spread 60% vs HOU 20%. Laying points (-2.5); best -118 at DraftKings.

#8 · ML W

CHI ML -115 · Hard Rock Bet

CHI @ ATL · 60.0%

CHI 31–23 ATL

ML: CHI best -115 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 60% vs ATL 40%.

#9 · ML W

PIT ML -145 · Hard Rock Bet

PIT @ TB · 60.0%

PIT 26–19 TB

ML: PIT best -145 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 60% vs TB 20%.

#10 · Spread W

PIT -2.5 -112 · FanDuel

PIT @ TB · 60.0%

PIT 26–19 TB

PIT covers the spread 60% vs TB 20%. Laying points (-2.5); best -112 at FanDuel.

#11 · ML W

GB ML -115 · DraftKings

DAL @ GB · 60.0%

DAL 13–23 GB

ML: GB best -115 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 60% vs DAL 40%.

#12 · Spread W

CLE +3.5 -128 · FanDuel

BAL @ CLE · 60.0%

BAL 10–13 CLE

CLE covers the spread 60% vs BAL 40%. Taking points (+3.5); best -128 at FanDuel.

#13 · Total points W

Over 45.5 -110 · FanDuel

NO @ NYG · 55.0%

NO 34–27 NYG (61)

Total: Covers consensus 55% over 45.5. NO over 60% and NYG over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#14 · Total points L

Over 39.5 -105 · FanDuel

BAL @ CLE · 53.0%

BAL 10–13 CLE (23)

Total: Covers consensus 53% over 39.5. BAL over 60% and CLE over 60%. Best -105 at FanDuel.

#15 · Total points L

Under 43.5 -108 · DraftKings

NYJ @ NE · 51.0%

NYJ 19–26 NE (45)

Total: Covers consensus 51% under 43.5. NYJ under 80% and NE under 60%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

#16 · Spread W

KC -7.5 -105 · FanDuel

LAC @ KC · 50.0%

LAC 6–22 KC

KC covers the spread 50% vs LAC 0%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

#17 · Spread W

CAR -3.5 +100 · Hard Rock Bet

CAR @ PHI · 50.0%

CAR 25–14 PHI

CAR covers the spread 50% vs PHI 20%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

#	Type	Bet	Odds	Book	Cons. %	Score	Result	Why
1	ML	JAX ML HOU @ JAX	-142	DraftKings	80.0	HOU 34–31 JAX	L	ML: JAX best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 80% vs HOU 20%.
2	Spread	NYG -1.5 NO @ NYG	+102	DraftKings	80.0	NO 34–27 NYG	L	NYG covers the spread 80% vs NO 40%. Laying points (-1.5); best +102 at DraftKings.
3	ML	NYG ML NO @ NYG	-106	FanDuel	75.0	NO 34–27 NYG	L	ML: NYG best -106 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 75% vs NO 20%.
4	Total points	Over 53.5 BUF @ LV	-110	FanDuel	71.0	BUF 33–30 LV (63)	W	Total: Covers consensus 71% over 53.5. BUF over 80% and LV over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
5	Total points	Over 51.5 ARI @ LA	-110	FanDuel	68.0	ARI 18–16 LAR (34)	L	Total: Covers consensus 68% over 51.5. ARI over 60% and LA over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
6	Spread	IND -6.5 TEN @ IND	-115	Hard Rock Bet	60.0	TEN 26–20 IND	L	IND covers the spread 60% vs TEN 40%. Laying points (-6.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
7	Spread	JAX -2.5 HOU @ JAX	-118	DraftKings	60.0	HOU 34–31 JAX	L	JAX covers the spread 60% vs HOU 20%. Laying points (-2.5); best -118 at DraftKings.
8	ML	CHI ML CHI @ ATL	-115	Hard Rock Bet	60.0	CHI 31–23 ATL	W	ML: CHI best -115 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 60% vs ATL 40%.
9	ML	PIT ML PIT @ TB	-145	Hard Rock Bet	60.0	PIT 26–19 TB	W	ML: PIT best -145 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 60% vs TB 20%.
10	Spread	PIT -2.5 PIT @ TB	-112	FanDuel	60.0	PIT 26–19 TB	W	PIT covers the spread 60% vs TB 20%. Laying points (-2.5); best -112 at FanDuel.
11	ML	GB ML DAL @ GB	-115	DraftKings	60.0	DAL 13–23 GB	W	ML: GB best -115 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 60% vs DAL 40%.
12	Spread	CLE +3.5 BAL @ CLE	-128	FanDuel	60.0	BAL 10–13 CLE	W	CLE covers the spread 60% vs BAL 40%. Taking points (+3.5); best -128 at FanDuel.
13	Total points	Over 45.5 NO @ NYG	-110	FanDuel	55.0	NO 34–27 NYG (61)	W	Total: Covers consensus 55% over 45.5. NO over 60% and NYG over 60%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
14	Total points	Over 39.5 BAL @ CLE	-105	FanDuel	53.0	BAL 10–13 CLE (23)	L	Total: Covers consensus 53% over 39.5. BAL over 60% and CLE over 60%. Best -105 at FanDuel.
15	Total points	Under 43.5 NYJ @ NE	-108	DraftKings	51.0	NYJ 19–26 NE (45)	L	Total: Covers consensus 51% under 43.5. NYJ under 80% and NE under 60%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
16	Spread	KC -7.5 LAC @ KC	-105	FanDuel	50.0	LAC 6–22 KC	W	KC covers the spread 50% vs LAC 0%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel.
17	Spread	CAR -3.5 CAR @ PHI	+100	Hard Rock Bet	50.0	CAR 25–14 PHI	W	CAR covers the spread 50% vs PHI 20%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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