← NFL picks · Week 6

Monday, Oct 19

Priced Oct 19, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 0–2

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

0–2

Day

4–6

Last 10

9–11

Last 20

0 / 1 / 1

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
WSH @ SF SF -7.5
WSH @ SF Over 51.5
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread L

SF -7.5 -108 · DraftKings

WSH @ SF · 80.0%

WSH 17–23 SF

SF covers the spread 80% vs WSH 40%. Laying points (-7.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#2 · Total points L

Over 51.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

WSH @ SF · 56.0%

WSH 17–23 SF (40)

Total: Covers consensus 56% over 51.5. WSH over 80% and SF over 60%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread SF -7.5 WSH @ SF -108 DraftKings 80.0 WSH 17–23 SF L SF covers the spread 80% vs WSH 40%. Laying points (-7.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
2 Total points Over 51.5 WSH @ SF -110 Hard Rock Bet 56.0 WSH 17–23 SF (40) L Total: Covers consensus 56% over 51.5. WSH over 80% and SF over 60%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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