← NFL picks
·
Week 8
Sunday, Nov 1
Priced Nov 1, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.
Overnight recap: 6–7
Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.
ML
L
DAL ML
-325
DraftKings
· 42.9%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: DAL best -325 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 42.9% vs ARI 28.6%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
W
Over 54.5
-108
DraftKings
· 64.0%
Total: Covers consensus 64% over 54.5. ARI over 57.1% and DAL over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
ML
No pick
Spread
L
ATL +1.5
-106
FanDuel
· 42.9%
ATL covers the spread 42.9% vs TB 28.6%. Taking points (+1.5); best -106 at FanDuel.
Total points
L
Over 43.5
-102
DraftKings
· 69.0%
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 43.5. ATL over 57.1% and TB over 57.1%. Best -102 at DraftKings.
ML
W
BUF ML
-166
DraftKings
· 83.3%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: BUF best -166 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 83.3% vs BAL 57.1%.
Spread
W
BUF -3.5
+100
FanDuel
· 66.7%
BUF covers the spread 66.7% vs BAL 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at FanDuel.
Total points
L
Over 54.5
-112
FanDuel
· 65.0%
Total: Covers consensus 65% over 54.5. BAL over 57.1% and BUF over 83.3%. Best -112 at FanDuel.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
W
JAX ML
-500
DraftKings
· 66.7%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: JAX best -500 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs IND 28.6%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
W
LV +1.5
-105
DraftKings
· 71.4%
LV covers the spread 71.4% vs NYJ 66.7%. Taking points (+1.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
W
CIN ML
-850
DraftKings
· 66.7%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: CIN best -850 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs TEN 14.3%.
Spread
L
CIN -12.5
-115
DraftKings
· 50.0%
CIN covers the spread 50% vs TEN 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -115 at DraftKings.
Total points
No pick
ML
W
LA ML
-270
DraftKings
· 42.9%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: LA best -270 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 42.9% vs LAC 0%.
Spread
W
LA -6.5
-108
FanDuel
· 42.9%
LA covers the spread 42.9% vs LAC 0%. Laying points (-6.5); best -108 at FanDuel.
Total points
No pick
ML
L
KC ML
-115
DraftKings
· 83.3%
ML: KC best -115 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 83.3% vs DEN 71.4%.
Spread
W
DEN +1.5
-115
Hard Rock Bet
· 71.4%
DEN covers the spread 71.4% vs KC 50%. Taking points (+1.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
Total points
L
Under 41.0
-110
Hard Rock Bet
· 57.0%
Total: Covers consensus 57% under 41.0. KC under 66.7% and DEN under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
ML
W
NE ML
-355
DraftKings
· 57.1%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: NE best -355 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs MIA 16.7%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
W
WSH -6.5
-105
Hard Rock Bet
· 50.0%
WSH covers the spread 50% vs PHI 14.3%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
Total points
L
Over 40.5
-105
FanDuel
· 62.0%
Total: Covers consensus 62% over 40.5. PHI over 57.1% and WSH over 66.7%. Best -105 at FanDuel.
No picks for this day.
Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).
1 / 5 / 7
ML / totals / spreads
Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started
Model probability vs market break-even
Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads)
Market break-even
Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
KC @ DEN KC ML
LV @ NYJ LV +1.5
KC @ DEN DEN +1.5
ATL @ TB Over 43.5
BAL @ BUF BUF -3.5
BAL @ BUF Over 54.5
ARI @ DAL Over 54.5
PHI @ WSH Over 40.5
KC @ DEN Under 41.0
TEN @ CIN CIN -12.5
PHI @ WSH WSH -6.5
LAC @ LA LA -6.5
ATL @ TB ATL +1.5
#1 · ML
L
KC ML -115 · DraftKings
KC @ DEN
· 83.3%
KC 24–28 DEN
ML: KC best -115 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 83.3% vs DEN 71.4%.
#2 · Spread
W
LV +1.5 -105 · DraftKings
LV @ NYJ
· 71.4%
LV 38–33 NYJ
LV covers the spread 71.4% vs NYJ 66.7%. Taking points (+1.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
#3 · Spread
W
DEN +1.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet
KC @ DEN
· 71.4%
KC 24–28 DEN
DEN covers the spread 71.4% vs KC 50%. Taking points (+1.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
#4 · Total points
L
Over 43.5 -102 · DraftKings
ATL @ TB
· 69.0%
ATL 0–16 TB (16)
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 43.5. ATL over 57.1% and TB over 57.1%. Best -102 at DraftKings.
#5 · Spread
W
BUF -3.5 +100 · FanDuel
BAL @ BUF
· 66.7%
BAL 10–36 BUF
BUF covers the spread 66.7% vs BAL 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at FanDuel.
#6 · Total points
L
Over 54.5 -112 · FanDuel
BAL @ BUF
· 65.0%
BAL 10–36 BUF (46)
Total: Covers consensus 65% over 54.5. BAL over 57.1% and BUF over 83.3%. Best -112 at FanDuel.
#7 · Total points
W
Over 54.5 -108 · DraftKings
ARI @ DAL
· 64.0%
ARI 33–30 DAL (63)
Total: Covers consensus 64% over 54.5. ARI over 57.1% and DAL over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
#8 · Total points
L
Over 40.5 -105 · FanDuel
PHI @ WSH
· 62.0%
PHI 10–27 WSH (37)
Total: Covers consensus 62% over 40.5. PHI over 57.1% and WSH over 66.7%. Best -105 at FanDuel.
#9 · Total points
L
Under 41.0 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
KC @ DEN
· 57.0%
KC 24–28 DEN (52)
Total: Covers consensus 57% under 41.0. KC under 66.7% and DEN under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
#10 · Spread
L
CIN -12.5 -115 · DraftKings
TEN @ CIN
· 50.0%
TEN 36–43 CIN
CIN covers the spread 50% vs TEN 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -115 at DraftKings.
#11 · Spread
W
WSH -6.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet
PHI @ WSH
· 50.0%
PHI 10–27 WSH
WSH covers the spread 50% vs PHI 14.3%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
#12 · Spread
W
LA -6.5 -108 · FanDuel
LAC @ LA
· 42.9%
LAC 9–24 LAR
LA covers the spread 42.9% vs LAC 0%. Laying points (-6.5); best -108 at FanDuel.
#13 · Spread
L
ATL +1.5 -106 · FanDuel
ATL @ TB
· 42.9%
ATL 0–16 TB
ATL covers the spread 42.9% vs TB 28.6%. Taking points (+1.5); best -106 at FanDuel.
| # |
Type |
Bet |
Odds |
Book |
Cons. % |
Score |
Result |
Why |
| 1 |
ML |
KC ML
KC @ DEN
|
-115 |
DraftKings |
83.3 |
KC 24–28 DEN |
L
|
ML: KC best -115 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 83.3% vs DEN 71.4%. |
| 2 |
Spread |
LV +1.5
LV @ NYJ
|
-105 |
DraftKings |
71.4 |
LV 38–33 NYJ |
W
|
LV covers the spread 71.4% vs NYJ 66.7%. Taking points (+1.5); best -105 at DraftKings. |
| 3 |
Spread |
DEN +1.5
KC @ DEN
|
-115 |
Hard Rock Bet |
71.4 |
KC 24–28 DEN |
W
|
DEN covers the spread 71.4% vs KC 50%. Taking points (+1.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 4 |
Total points |
Over 43.5
ATL @ TB
|
-102 |
DraftKings |
69.0 |
ATL 0–16 TB (16) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 43.5. ATL over 57.1% and TB over 57.1%. Best -102 at DraftKings. |
| 5 |
Spread |
BUF -3.5
BAL @ BUF
|
+100 |
FanDuel |
66.7 |
BAL 10–36 BUF |
W
|
BUF covers the spread 66.7% vs BAL 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at FanDuel. |
| 6 |
Total points |
Over 54.5
BAL @ BUF
|
-112 |
FanDuel |
65.0 |
BAL 10–36 BUF (46) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 65% over 54.5. BAL over 57.1% and BUF over 83.3%. Best -112 at FanDuel. |
| 7 |
Total points |
Over 54.5
ARI @ DAL
|
-108 |
DraftKings |
64.0 |
ARI 33–30 DAL (63) |
W
|
Total: Covers consensus 64% over 54.5. ARI over 57.1% and DAL over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings. |
| 8 |
Total points |
Over 40.5
PHI @ WSH
|
-105 |
FanDuel |
62.0 |
PHI 10–27 WSH (37) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 62% over 40.5. PHI over 57.1% and WSH over 66.7%. Best -105 at FanDuel. |
| 9 |
Total points |
Under 41.0
KC @ DEN
|
-110 |
Hard Rock Bet |
57.0 |
KC 24–28 DEN (52) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 57% under 41.0. KC under 66.7% and DEN under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 10 |
Spread |
CIN -12.5
TEN @ CIN
|
-115 |
DraftKings |
50.0 |
TEN 36–43 CIN |
L
|
CIN covers the spread 50% vs TEN 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -115 at DraftKings. |
| 11 |
Spread |
WSH -6.5
PHI @ WSH
|
-105 |
Hard Rock Bet |
50.0 |
PHI 10–27 WSH |
W
|
WSH covers the spread 50% vs PHI 14.3%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 12 |
Spread |
LA -6.5
LAC @ LA
|
-108 |
FanDuel |
42.9 |
LAC 9–24 LAR |
W
|
LA covers the spread 42.9% vs LAC 0%. Laying points (-6.5); best -108 at FanDuel. |
| 13 |
Spread |
ATL +1.5
ATL @ TB
|
-106 |
FanDuel |
42.9 |
ATL 0–16 TB |
L
|
ATL covers the spread 42.9% vs TB 28.6%. Taking points (+1.5); best -106 at FanDuel. |
No picks match this filter.
Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.
Odds and consensus from Covers.com.
ATS from TeamRankings.
Finals from ESPN.
Not affiliated with those sites.
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