← NCAAF picks · Week 9

Saturday, Oct 24

Priced Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 20–15

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

20–15

Day

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

8 / 9 / 18

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
MSU @ UCLA UCLA -16.5
BYU @ UCF BYU -7.5
VAN @ UK UK -10.5
UTSA @ TULN UTSA ML
USC @ WIS USC ML
COLO @ OKST OKST -13.5
ODU @ LT LT -13.5
NDSU @ UNM UNM -4.5
TTU @ CIN Over 56.5
VAN @ UK Over 51.5
HOU @ UTA Over 57.5
KSU @ ASU Over 51.5
RICE @ FAU FAU -8.5
UNT @ NAVY UNT ML
UNT @ NAVY UNT -3.5
SYR @ UNC UNC -9.5
UTSA @ TULN UTSA -2.5
BAY @ KU BAY ML
BAY @ KU BAY -1.5
SJSU @ NEV NEV -6.5
KSU @ ASU KSU ML
UNT @ NAVY Over 61.5
BGSU @ BUFF Over 44.5
ORE @ ILL Over 49.5
BGSU @ BUFF BUFF ML
EMU @ OHIO OHIO -9.5
IU @ MICH Under 42.5
SDSU @ CSU Over 59.5
MISS @ TEX MISS +3.5
WMU @ TOL TOL -2.5
SDSU @ CSU SDSU ML
LSU @ AUB LSU -7.5
ULM @ TROY TROY -12.5
IU @ MICH MICH +7.5
AKR @ KENT KENT ML
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread W

UCLA -16.5 -108 · DraftKings

MSU @ UCLA · 100.0%

MSU 10–28 UCLA

UCLA covers the spread 100% vs MSU 66.7%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#2 · Spread L

BYU -7.5 +100 · Hard Rock Bet

BYU @ UCF · 100.0%

BYU 31–39 UCF

BYU covers the spread 100% vs UCF 66.7%. Laying points (-7.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

#3 · Spread W

UK -10.5 -110 · DraftKings

VAN @ UK · 85.7%

VAN 17–34 UK

UK covers the spread 85.7% vs VAN 42.9%. Laying points (-10.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#4 · ML W

UTSA ML -140 · FanDuel

UTSA @ TULN · 85.7%

UTSA 42–19 TULN

ML: UTSA best -140 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 85.7% vs TULN 50%.

#5 · ML L

USC ML -145 · Hard Rock Bet

USC @ WIS · 85.7%

USC 7–24 WIS

ML: USC best -145 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 85.7% vs WIS 66.7%.

#6 · Spread W

OKST -13.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

COLO @ OKST · 83.3%

COLO 24–57 OKST

OKST covers the spread 83.3% vs COLO 33.3%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#7 · Spread W

LT -13.5 -110 · FanDuel

ODU @ LT · 83.3%

ODU 0–26 LT

LT covers the spread 83.3% vs ODU 14.3%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at FanDuel.

#8 · Spread W

UNM -4.5 -112 · DraftKings

NDSU @ UNM · 83.3%

NDSU 16–21 UNM

UNM covers the spread 83.3% vs NDSU 42.9%. Laying points (-4.5); best -112 at DraftKings.

#9 · Total points W

Over 56.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

TTU @ CIN · 76.0%

TTU 24–37 CIN (61)

Total: Covers consensus 76% over 56.5. TTU over 66.7% and CIN over 66.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#10 · Total points L

Over 51.5 -105 · FanDuel

VAN @ UK · 69.0%

VAN 17–34 UK (51)

Total: Covers consensus 69% over 51.5. VAN over 71.4% and UK over 71.4%. Best -105 at FanDuel.

#11 · Total points L

Over 57.5 -106 · FanDuel

HOU @ UTA · 68.0%

HOU 13–21 UTAH (34)

Total: Covers consensus 68% over 57.5. HOU over 71.4% and UTA over 66.7%. Best -106 at FanDuel.

#12 · Total points L

Over 51.5 -106 · FanDuel

KSU @ ASU · 67.0%

KSU 17–28 ASU (45)

Total: Covers consensus 67% over 51.5. KSU over 66.7% and ASU over 66.7%. Best -106 at FanDuel.

#13 · Spread L

FAU -8.5 -108 · DraftKings

RICE @ FAU · 66.7%

RICE 49–51 FAU

FAU covers the spread 66.7% vs RICE 42.9%. Laying points (-8.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#14 · ML W

UNT ML -155 · DraftKings

UNT @ NAVY · 66.7%

UNT 49–39 NAVY

ML: UNT best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs NAVY 33.3%.

#15 · Spread W

UNT -3.5 +100 · Hard Rock Bet

UNT @ NAVY · 66.7%

UNT 49–39 NAVY

UNT covers the spread 66.7% vs NAVY 33.3%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

#16 · Spread L

UNC -9.5 -108 · DraftKings

SYR @ UNC · 66.7%

SYR 31–30 UNC

UNC covers the spread 66.7% vs SYR 50%. Laying points (-9.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#17 · Spread W

UTSA -2.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet

UTSA @ TULN · 66.7%

UTSA 42–19 TULN

UTSA covers the spread 66.7% vs TULN 50%. Laying points (-2.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.

#18 · ML L

BAY ML -111 · FanDuel

BAY @ KU · 66.7%

BAY 24–25 KU

ML: BAY best -111 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs KU 33.3%.

#19 · Spread L

BAY -1.5 +100 · DraftKings

BAY @ KU · 66.7%

BAY 24–25 KU

BAY covers the spread 66.7% vs KU 33.3%. Laying points (-1.5); best +100 at DraftKings.

#20 · Spread W

NEV -6.5 -110 · DraftKings

SJSU @ NEV · 66.7%

SJSU 13–28 NEV

NEV covers the spread 66.7% vs SJSU 57.1%. Laying points (-6.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#21 · ML L

KSU ML -111 · FanDuel

KSU @ ASU · 66.7%

KSU 17–28 ASU

ML: KSU best -111 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs ASU 50%.

#22 · Total points W

Over 61.5 -106 · FanDuel

UNT @ NAVY · 65.0%

UNT 49–39 NAVY (88)

Total: Covers consensus 65% over 61.5. UNT over 83.3% and NAVY over 66.7%. Best -106 at FanDuel.

#23 · Total points W

Over 44.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

BGSU @ BUFF · 62.0%

BGSU 24–31 BUFF (55)

Total: Covers consensus 62% over 44.5. BGSU over 71.4% and BUFF over 57.1%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#24 · Total points L

Over 49.5 -106 · FanDuel

ORE @ ILL · 62.0%

ORE 10–21 ILL (31)

Total: Covers consensus 62% over 49.5. ORE over 66.7% and ILL over 83.3%. Best -106 at FanDuel.

#25 · ML W

BUFF ML -154 · FanDuel

BGSU @ BUFF · 57.1%

BGSU 24–31 BUFF

ML: BUFF best -154 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs BGSU 28.6%.

#26 · Spread L

OHIO -9.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet

EMU @ OHIO · 57.1%

EMU 20–24 OHIO

OHIO covers the spread 57.1% vs EMU 37.5%. Laying points (-9.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.

#27 · Total points W

Under 42.5 -105 · DraftKings

IU @ MICH · 57.0%

IU 13–6 MICH (19)

Total: Covers consensus 57% under 42.5. IU under 57.1% and MICH under 83.3%. Best -105 at DraftKings.

#28 · Total points W

Over 59.5 -106 · FanDuel

SDSU @ CSU · 54.0%

SDSU 49–56 CSU (105)

Total: Covers consensus 54% over 59.5. SDSU over 71.4% and CSU over 100%. Best -106 at FanDuel.

#29 · Spread L

MISS +3.5 -122 · FanDuel

MISS @ TEX · 50.0%

MISS 27–34 TEX

MISS covers the spread 50% vs TEX 16.7%. Taking points (+3.5); best -122 at FanDuel.

#30 · Spread W

TOL -2.5 -118 · DraftKings

WMU @ TOL · 50.0%

WMU 38–45 TOL

TOL covers the spread 50% vs WMU 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -118 at DraftKings.

#31 · ML L

SDSU ML -111 · FanDuel

SDSU @ CSU · 42.9%

SDSU 49–56 CSU

ML: SDSU best -111 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 42.9% vs CSU 33.3%.

#32 · Spread W

LSU -7.5 -104 · FanDuel

LSU @ AUB · 42.9%

LSU 38–17 AUB

LSU covers the spread 42.9% vs AUB 33.3%. Laying points (-7.5); best -104 at FanDuel.

#33 · Spread L

TROY -12.5 -108 · DraftKings

ULM @ TROY · 33.3%

ULM 21–14 TROY

TROY covers the spread 33.3% vs ULM 16.7%. Laying points (-12.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#34 · Spread W

MICH +7.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

IU @ MICH · 33.3%

IU 13–6 MICH

MICH covers the spread 33.3% vs IU 14.3%. Taking points (+7.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#35 · ML W

KENT ML -148 · DraftKings

AKR @ KENT · 28.6%

AKR 20–35 KENT

ML: KENT best -148 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 28.6% vs AKR 14.3%.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread UCLA -16.5 MSU @ UCLA -108 DraftKings 100.0 MSU 10–28 UCLA W UCLA covers the spread 100% vs MSU 66.7%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
2 Spread BYU -7.5 BYU @ UCF +100 Hard Rock Bet 100.0 BYU 31–39 UCF L BYU covers the spread 100% vs UCF 66.7%. Laying points (-7.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.
3 Spread UK -10.5 VAN @ UK -110 DraftKings 85.7 VAN 17–34 UK W UK covers the spread 85.7% vs VAN 42.9%. Laying points (-10.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
4 ML UTSA ML UTSA @ TULN -140 FanDuel 85.7 UTSA 42–19 TULN W ML: UTSA best -140 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 85.7% vs TULN 50%.
5 ML USC ML USC @ WIS -145 Hard Rock Bet 85.7 USC 7–24 WIS L ML: USC best -145 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 85.7% vs WIS 66.7%.
6 Spread OKST -13.5 COLO @ OKST -110 Hard Rock Bet 83.3 COLO 24–57 OKST W OKST covers the spread 83.3% vs COLO 33.3%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
7 Spread LT -13.5 ODU @ LT -110 FanDuel 83.3 ODU 0–26 LT W LT covers the spread 83.3% vs ODU 14.3%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
8 Spread UNM -4.5 NDSU @ UNM -112 DraftKings 83.3 NDSU 16–21 UNM W UNM covers the spread 83.3% vs NDSU 42.9%. Laying points (-4.5); best -112 at DraftKings.
9 Total points Over 56.5 TTU @ CIN -110 Hard Rock Bet 76.0 TTU 24–37 CIN (61) W Total: Covers consensus 76% over 56.5. TTU over 66.7% and CIN over 66.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
10 Total points Over 51.5 VAN @ UK -105 FanDuel 69.0 VAN 17–34 UK (51) L Total: Covers consensus 69% over 51.5. VAN over 71.4% and UK over 71.4%. Best -105 at FanDuel.
11 Total points Over 57.5 HOU @ UTA -106 FanDuel 68.0 HOU 13–21 UTAH (34) L Total: Covers consensus 68% over 57.5. HOU over 71.4% and UTA over 66.7%. Best -106 at FanDuel.
12 Total points Over 51.5 KSU @ ASU -106 FanDuel 67.0 KSU 17–28 ASU (45) L Total: Covers consensus 67% over 51.5. KSU over 66.7% and ASU over 66.7%. Best -106 at FanDuel.
13 Spread FAU -8.5 RICE @ FAU -108 DraftKings 66.7 RICE 49–51 FAU L FAU covers the spread 66.7% vs RICE 42.9%. Laying points (-8.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
14 ML UNT ML UNT @ NAVY -155 DraftKings 66.7 UNT 49–39 NAVY W ML: UNT best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs NAVY 33.3%.
15 Spread UNT -3.5 UNT @ NAVY +100 Hard Rock Bet 66.7 UNT 49–39 NAVY W UNT covers the spread 66.7% vs NAVY 33.3%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.
16 Spread UNC -9.5 SYR @ UNC -108 DraftKings 66.7 SYR 31–30 UNC L UNC covers the spread 66.7% vs SYR 50%. Laying points (-9.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
17 Spread UTSA -2.5 UTSA @ TULN -115 Hard Rock Bet 66.7 UTSA 42–19 TULN W UTSA covers the spread 66.7% vs TULN 50%. Laying points (-2.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
18 ML BAY ML BAY @ KU -111 FanDuel 66.7 BAY 24–25 KU L ML: BAY best -111 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs KU 33.3%.
19 Spread BAY -1.5 BAY @ KU +100 DraftKings 66.7 BAY 24–25 KU L BAY covers the spread 66.7% vs KU 33.3%. Laying points (-1.5); best +100 at DraftKings.
20 Spread NEV -6.5 SJSU @ NEV -110 DraftKings 66.7 SJSU 13–28 NEV W NEV covers the spread 66.7% vs SJSU 57.1%. Laying points (-6.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
21 ML KSU ML KSU @ ASU -111 FanDuel 66.7 KSU 17–28 ASU L ML: KSU best -111 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs ASU 50%.
22 Total points Over 61.5 UNT @ NAVY -106 FanDuel 65.0 UNT 49–39 NAVY (88) W Total: Covers consensus 65% over 61.5. UNT over 83.3% and NAVY over 66.7%. Best -106 at FanDuel.
23 Total points Over 44.5 BGSU @ BUFF -105 Hard Rock Bet 62.0 BGSU 24–31 BUFF (55) W Total: Covers consensus 62% over 44.5. BGSU over 71.4% and BUFF over 57.1%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
24 Total points Over 49.5 ORE @ ILL -106 FanDuel 62.0 ORE 10–21 ILL (31) L Total: Covers consensus 62% over 49.5. ORE over 66.7% and ILL over 83.3%. Best -106 at FanDuel.
25 ML BUFF ML BGSU @ BUFF -154 FanDuel 57.1 BGSU 24–31 BUFF W ML: BUFF best -154 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs BGSU 28.6%.
26 Spread OHIO -9.5 EMU @ OHIO -115 Hard Rock Bet 57.1 EMU 20–24 OHIO L OHIO covers the spread 57.1% vs EMU 37.5%. Laying points (-9.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
27 Total points Under 42.5 IU @ MICH -105 DraftKings 57.0 IU 13–6 MICH (19) W Total: Covers consensus 57% under 42.5. IU under 57.1% and MICH under 83.3%. Best -105 at DraftKings.
28 Total points Over 59.5 SDSU @ CSU -106 FanDuel 54.0 SDSU 49–56 CSU (105) W Total: Covers consensus 54% over 59.5. SDSU over 71.4% and CSU over 100%. Best -106 at FanDuel.
29 Spread MISS +3.5 MISS @ TEX -122 FanDuel 50.0 MISS 27–34 TEX L MISS covers the spread 50% vs TEX 16.7%. Taking points (+3.5); best -122 at FanDuel.
30 Spread TOL -2.5 WMU @ TOL -118 DraftKings 50.0 WMU 38–45 TOL W TOL covers the spread 50% vs WMU 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -118 at DraftKings.
31 ML SDSU ML SDSU @ CSU -111 FanDuel 42.9 SDSU 49–56 CSU L ML: SDSU best -111 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 42.9% vs CSU 33.3%.
32 Spread LSU -7.5 LSU @ AUB -104 FanDuel 42.9 LSU 38–17 AUB W LSU covers the spread 42.9% vs AUB 33.3%. Laying points (-7.5); best -104 at FanDuel.
33 Spread TROY -12.5 ULM @ TROY -108 DraftKings 33.3 ULM 21–14 TROY L TROY covers the spread 33.3% vs ULM 16.7%. Laying points (-12.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
34 Spread MICH +7.5 IU @ MICH -110 Hard Rock Bet 33.3 IU 13–6 MICH W MICH covers the spread 33.3% vs IU 14.3%. Taking points (+7.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
35 ML KENT ML AKR @ KENT -148 DraftKings 28.6 AKR 20–35 KENT W ML: KENT best -148 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 28.6% vs AKR 14.3%.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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