← NCAAF picks · Week 10

Saturday, Oct 31

Priced Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 25–16

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

25–16

Day

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

4 / 15 / 22

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
NEV @ UCLA UCLA -22.5
WASH @ NEB NEB -7.5
ORST @ FRES ORST -5.5
ASU @ BYU BYU -16.5
OKST @ ISU OKST -9.5
LT @ USA LT -6.5
APP @ GASO GASO -5.5
FIU @ LIB LIB -13.5
MINN @ IU MINN +20.5
UVA @ WAKE WAKE -12.5
FLA @ UGA UGA -11.5
ORST @ FRES Over 58.5
ND @ NAVY Over 55.5
FLA @ UGA Over 56.5
STAN @ LOU Over 60.5
WIS @ IOWA Under 36.5
UTA @ CIN Over 56.5
ASU @ BYU Over 48.5
KSU @ COLO Over 46.5
LT @ USA Over 58.5
ILL @ MD Over 53.5
ILL @ MD ILL ML
MRSH @ ODU MRSH ML
STAN @ LOU LOU -22.5
NIU @ UNLV UNLV -21.5
CSU @ USU USU -7.5
MSST @ TEX MSST +20.5
MINN @ IU Under 41.5
CLEM @ FSU Under 49.5
ARMY @ MEM Over 59.5
UAB @ USF Under 41.5
TEM @ ECU Under 49.5
GT @ PITT PITT -7.5
CLEM @ FSU FSU -5.5
KU @ TCU TCU -6.5
USM @ ULM USM -3.5
KSU @ COLO KSU +2.5
UTEP @ NDSU NDSU -24.5
WSU @ SDSU SDSU ML
MRSH @ ODU MRSH -2.5
USM @ ULM USM ML
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread W

UCLA -22.5 -110 · DraftKings

NEV @ UCLA · 100.0%

NEV 0–27 UCLA

UCLA covers the spread 100% vs NEV 71.4%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#2 · Spread L

NEB -7.5 -110 · DraftKings

WASH @ NEB · 85.7%

WASH 17–10 NEB

NEB covers the spread 85.7% vs WASH 28.6%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#3 · Spread L

ORST -5.5 -115 · FanDuel

ORST @ FRES · 85.7%

ORST 22–38 FRES

ORST covers the spread 85.7% vs FRES 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at FanDuel.

#4 · Spread L

BYU -16.5 -108 · DraftKings

ASU @ BYU · 85.7%

ASU 20–27 BYU

BYU covers the spread 85.7% vs ASU 42.9%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#5 · Spread L

OKST -9.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

OKST @ ISU · 85.7%

OKST 49–51 ISU

OKST covers the spread 85.7% vs ISU 33.3%. Laying points (-9.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#6 · Spread W

LT -6.5 -105 · FanDuel

LT @ USA · 85.7%

LT 35–20 USA

LT covers the spread 85.7% vs USA 57.1%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

#7 · Spread W

GASO -5.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

APP @ GASO · 85.7%

APP 3–19 GASO

GASO covers the spread 85.7% vs APP 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#8 · Spread W

LIB -13.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

FIU @ LIB · 71.4%

FIU 10–49 LIB

LIB covers the spread 71.4% vs FIU 57.1%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#9 · Spread W

MINN +20.5 -108 · DraftKings

MINN @ IU · 71.4%

MINN 16–23 IU

MINN covers the spread 71.4% vs IU 12.5%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#10 · Spread W

WAKE -12.5 -110 · FanDuel

UVA @ WAKE · 71.4%

UVA 7–51 WAKE

WAKE covers the spread 71.4% vs UVA 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -110 at FanDuel.

#11 · Spread W

UGA -11.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

FLA @ UGA · 71.4%

FLA 8–27 UGA

UGA covers the spread 71.4% vs FLA 57.1%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#12 · Total points W

Over 58.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

ORST @ FRES · 71.0%

ORST 22–38 FRES (60)

Total: Covers consensus 71% over 58.5. ORST over 85.7% and FRES over 57.1%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#13 · Total points L

Over 55.5 -104 · FanDuel

ND @ NAVY · 70.0%

ND 35–13 NAVY (48)

Total: Covers consensus 70% over 55.5. ND over 71.4% and NAVY over 71.4%. Best -104 at FanDuel.

#14 · Total points L

Over 56.5 -110 · FanDuel

FLA @ UGA · 69.0%

FLA 8–27 UGA (35)

Total: Covers consensus 69% over 56.5. FLA over 57.1% and UGA over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#15 · Total points W

Over 60.5 -110 · FanDuel

STAN @ LOU · 67.0%

STAN 24–52 LOU (76)

Total: Covers consensus 67% over 60.5. STAN over 75% and LOU over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#16 · Total points W

Under 36.5 -110 · FanDuel

WIS @ IOWA · 64.0%

WIS 0–30 IOWA (30)

Total: Covers consensus 64% under 36.5. WIS under 57.1% and IOWA under 71.4%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#17 · Total points W

Over 56.5 -110 · DraftKings

UTA @ CIN · 62.0%

UTAH 49–25 CIN (74)

Total: Covers consensus 62% over 56.5. UTA over 57.1% and CIN over 71.4%. Best -110 at DraftKings.

#18 · Total points L

Over 48.5 -110 · FanDuel

ASU @ BYU · 61.0%

ASU 20–27 BYU (47)

Total: Covers consensus 61% over 48.5. ASU over 57.1% and BYU over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#19 · Total points W

Over 46.5 -110 · FanDuel

KSU @ COLO · 61.0%

KSU 24–27 COLO (51)

Total: Covers consensus 61% over 46.5. KSU over 57.1% and COLO over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel.

#20 · Total points L

Over 58.5 -108 · DraftKings

LT @ USA · 60.0%

LT 35–20 USA (55)

Total: Covers consensus 60% over 58.5. LT over 71.4% and USA over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

#21 · Total points L

Over 53.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

ILL @ MD · 59.0%

ILL 20–17 MD (37)

Total: Covers consensus 59% over 53.5. ILL over 71.4% and MD over 85.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#22 · ML W

ILL ML -135 · DraftKings

ILL @ MD · 57.1%

ILL 20–17 MD

ML: ILL best -135 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs MD 28.6%.

#23 · ML W

MRSH ML -142 · DraftKings

MRSH @ ODU · 57.1%

MRSH 36–23 ODU

ML: MRSH best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs ODU 25%.

#24 · Spread W

LOU -22.5 -110 · FanDuel

STAN @ LOU · 57.1%

STAN 24–52 LOU

LOU covers the spread 57.1% vs STAN 37.5%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at FanDuel.

#25 · Spread L

UNLV -21.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

NIU @ UNLV · 57.1%

NIU 24–31 UNLV

UNLV covers the spread 57.1% vs NIU 14.3%. Laying points (-21.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#26 · Spread W

USU -7.5 -105 · FanDuel

CSU @ USU · 57.1%

CSU 14–31 USU

USU covers the spread 57.1% vs CSU 50%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel.

#27 · Spread L

MSST +20.5 -108 · DraftKings

MSST @ TEX · 57.1%

MSST 3–31 TEX

MSST covers the spread 57.1% vs TEX 28.6%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#28 · Total points W

Under 41.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

MINN @ IU · 56.0%

MINN 16–23 IU (39)

Total: Covers consensus 56% under 41.5. MINN under 57.1% and IU under 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#29 · Total points L

Under 49.5 -108 · DraftKings

CLEM @ FSU · 55.0%

CLEM 36–24 FSU (60)

Total: Covers consensus 55% under 49.5. CLEM under 57.1% and FSU under 57.1%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

#30 · Total points W

Over 59.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

ARMY @ MEM · 54.0%

ARMY 22–49 MEM (71)

Total: Covers consensus 54% over 59.5. ARMY over 71.4% and MEM over 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#31 · Total points W

Under 41.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

UAB @ USF · 53.0%

UAB 10–30 USF (40)

Total: Covers consensus 53% under 41.5. UAB under 85.7% and USF under 57.1%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

#32 · Total points W

Under 49.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

TEM @ ECU · 52.0%

TEM 9–17 ECU (26)

Total: Covers consensus 52% under 49.5. TEM under 57.1% and ECU under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#33 · Spread W

PITT -7.5 -110 · DraftKings

GT @ PITT · 50.0%

GT 11–34 PITT

PITT covers the spread 50% vs GT 14.3%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings.

#34 · Spread L

FSU -5.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet

CLEM @ FSU · 50.0%

CLEM 36–24 FSU

FSU covers the spread 50% vs CLEM 28.6%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.

#35 · Spread L

TCU -6.5 -106 · FanDuel

KU @ TCU · 42.9%

KU 16–22 TCU

TCU covers the spread 42.9% vs KU 28.6%. Laying points (-6.5); best -106 at FanDuel.

#36 · Spread W

USM -3.5 +100 · Hard Rock Bet

USM @ ULM · 42.9%

USM 35–21 ULM

USM covers the spread 42.9% vs ULM 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.

#37 · Spread L

KSU +2.5 -104 · FanDuel

KSU @ COLO · 42.9%

KSU 24–27 COLO

KSU covers the spread 42.9% vs COLO 28.6%. Taking points (+2.5); best -104 at FanDuel.

#38 · Spread L

NDSU -24.5 -105 · DraftKings

UTEP @ NDSU · 37.5%

UTEP 7–31 NDSU

NDSU covers the spread 37.5% vs UTEP 14.3%. Laying points (-24.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

#39 · ML W

SDSU ML -134 · FanDuel

WSU @ SDSU · 37.5%

WSU 20–26 SDSU

ML: SDSU best -134 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 37.5% vs WSU 12.5%.

#40 · Spread W

MRSH -2.5 -120 · FanDuel

MRSH @ ODU · 28.6%

MRSH 36–23 ODU

MRSH covers the spread 28.6% vs ODU 12.5%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel.

#41 · ML W

USM ML -150 · Hard Rock Bet

USM @ ULM · 28.6%

USM 35–21 ULM

ML: USM best -150 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 28.6% vs ULM 14.3%.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread UCLA -22.5 NEV @ UCLA -110 DraftKings 100.0 NEV 0–27 UCLA W UCLA covers the spread 100% vs NEV 71.4%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
2 Spread NEB -7.5 WASH @ NEB -110 DraftKings 85.7 WASH 17–10 NEB L NEB covers the spread 85.7% vs WASH 28.6%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
3 Spread ORST -5.5 ORST @ FRES -115 FanDuel 85.7 ORST 22–38 FRES L ORST covers the spread 85.7% vs FRES 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at FanDuel.
4 Spread BYU -16.5 ASU @ BYU -108 DraftKings 85.7 ASU 20–27 BYU L BYU covers the spread 85.7% vs ASU 42.9%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
5 Spread OKST -9.5 OKST @ ISU -110 Hard Rock Bet 85.7 OKST 49–51 ISU L OKST covers the spread 85.7% vs ISU 33.3%. Laying points (-9.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
6 Spread LT -6.5 LT @ USA -105 FanDuel 85.7 LT 35–20 USA W LT covers the spread 85.7% vs USA 57.1%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at FanDuel.
7 Spread GASO -5.5 APP @ GASO -110 Hard Rock Bet 85.7 APP 3–19 GASO W GASO covers the spread 85.7% vs APP 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
8 Spread LIB -13.5 FIU @ LIB -110 Hard Rock Bet 71.4 FIU 10–49 LIB W LIB covers the spread 71.4% vs FIU 57.1%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
9 Spread MINN +20.5 MINN @ IU -108 DraftKings 71.4 MINN 16–23 IU W MINN covers the spread 71.4% vs IU 12.5%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
10 Spread WAKE -12.5 UVA @ WAKE -110 FanDuel 71.4 UVA 7–51 WAKE W WAKE covers the spread 71.4% vs UVA 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
11 Spread UGA -11.5 FLA @ UGA -105 Hard Rock Bet 71.4 FLA 8–27 UGA W UGA covers the spread 71.4% vs FLA 57.1%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
12 Total points Over 58.5 ORST @ FRES -110 Hard Rock Bet 71.0 ORST 22–38 FRES (60) W Total: Covers consensus 71% over 58.5. ORST over 85.7% and FRES over 57.1%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
13 Total points Over 55.5 ND @ NAVY -104 FanDuel 70.0 ND 35–13 NAVY (48) L Total: Covers consensus 70% over 55.5. ND over 71.4% and NAVY over 71.4%. Best -104 at FanDuel.
14 Total points Over 56.5 FLA @ UGA -110 FanDuel 69.0 FLA 8–27 UGA (35) L Total: Covers consensus 69% over 56.5. FLA over 57.1% and UGA over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
15 Total points Over 60.5 STAN @ LOU -110 FanDuel 67.0 STAN 24–52 LOU (76) W Total: Covers consensus 67% over 60.5. STAN over 75% and LOU over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
16 Total points Under 36.5 WIS @ IOWA -110 FanDuel 64.0 WIS 0–30 IOWA (30) W Total: Covers consensus 64% under 36.5. WIS under 57.1% and IOWA under 71.4%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
17 Total points Over 56.5 UTA @ CIN -110 DraftKings 62.0 UTAH 49–25 CIN (74) W Total: Covers consensus 62% over 56.5. UTA over 57.1% and CIN over 71.4%. Best -110 at DraftKings.
18 Total points Over 48.5 ASU @ BYU -110 FanDuel 61.0 ASU 20–27 BYU (47) L Total: Covers consensus 61% over 48.5. ASU over 57.1% and BYU over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
19 Total points Over 46.5 KSU @ COLO -110 FanDuel 61.0 KSU 24–27 COLO (51) W Total: Covers consensus 61% over 46.5. KSU over 57.1% and COLO over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
20 Total points Over 58.5 LT @ USA -108 DraftKings 60.0 LT 35–20 USA (55) L Total: Covers consensus 60% over 58.5. LT over 71.4% and USA over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
21 Total points Over 53.5 ILL @ MD -110 Hard Rock Bet 59.0 ILL 20–17 MD (37) L Total: Covers consensus 59% over 53.5. ILL over 71.4% and MD over 85.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
22 ML ILL ML ILL @ MD -135 DraftKings 57.1 ILL 20–17 MD W ML: ILL best -135 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs MD 28.6%.
23 ML MRSH ML MRSH @ ODU -142 DraftKings 57.1 MRSH 36–23 ODU W ML: MRSH best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs ODU 25%.
24 Spread LOU -22.5 STAN @ LOU -110 FanDuel 57.1 STAN 24–52 LOU W LOU covers the spread 57.1% vs STAN 37.5%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
25 Spread UNLV -21.5 NIU @ UNLV -105 Hard Rock Bet 57.1 NIU 24–31 UNLV L UNLV covers the spread 57.1% vs NIU 14.3%. Laying points (-21.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
26 Spread USU -7.5 CSU @ USU -105 FanDuel 57.1 CSU 14–31 USU W USU covers the spread 57.1% vs CSU 50%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel.
27 Spread MSST +20.5 MSST @ TEX -108 DraftKings 57.1 MSST 3–31 TEX L MSST covers the spread 57.1% vs TEX 28.6%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
28 Total points Under 41.5 MINN @ IU -110 Hard Rock Bet 56.0 MINN 16–23 IU (39) W Total: Covers consensus 56% under 41.5. MINN under 57.1% and IU under 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
29 Total points Under 49.5 CLEM @ FSU -108 DraftKings 55.0 CLEM 36–24 FSU (60) L Total: Covers consensus 55% under 49.5. CLEM under 57.1% and FSU under 57.1%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
30 Total points Over 59.5 ARMY @ MEM -110 Hard Rock Bet 54.0 ARMY 22–49 MEM (71) W Total: Covers consensus 54% over 59.5. ARMY over 71.4% and MEM over 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
31 Total points Under 41.5 UAB @ USF -105 Hard Rock Bet 53.0 UAB 10–30 USF (40) W Total: Covers consensus 53% under 41.5. UAB under 85.7% and USF under 57.1%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
32 Total points Under 49.5 TEM @ ECU -110 Hard Rock Bet 52.0 TEM 9–17 ECU (26) W Total: Covers consensus 52% under 49.5. TEM under 57.1% and ECU under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
33 Spread PITT -7.5 GT @ PITT -110 DraftKings 50.0 GT 11–34 PITT W PITT covers the spread 50% vs GT 14.3%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
34 Spread FSU -5.5 CLEM @ FSU -115 Hard Rock Bet 50.0 CLEM 36–24 FSU L FSU covers the spread 50% vs CLEM 28.6%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
35 Spread TCU -6.5 KU @ TCU -106 FanDuel 42.9 KU 16–22 TCU L TCU covers the spread 42.9% vs KU 28.6%. Laying points (-6.5); best -106 at FanDuel.
36 Spread USM -3.5 USM @ ULM +100 Hard Rock Bet 42.9 USM 35–21 ULM W USM covers the spread 42.9% vs ULM 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.
37 Spread KSU +2.5 KSU @ COLO -104 FanDuel 42.9 KSU 24–27 COLO L KSU covers the spread 42.9% vs COLO 28.6%. Taking points (+2.5); best -104 at FanDuel.
38 Spread NDSU -24.5 UTEP @ NDSU -105 DraftKings 37.5 UTEP 7–31 NDSU L NDSU covers the spread 37.5% vs UTEP 14.3%. Laying points (-24.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
39 ML SDSU ML WSU @ SDSU -134 FanDuel 37.5 WSU 20–26 SDSU W ML: SDSU best -134 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 37.5% vs WSU 12.5%.
40 Spread MRSH -2.5 MRSH @ ODU -120 FanDuel 28.6 MRSH 36–23 ODU W MRSH covers the spread 28.6% vs ODU 12.5%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel.
41 ML USM ML USM @ ULM -150 Hard Rock Bet 28.6 USM 35–21 ULM W ML: USM best -150 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 28.6% vs ULM 14.3%.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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