No pick
Week 10
Oct 27 – Oct 31
All NCAAF picks for this week. Graded live from ESPN.
Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).
26–18
Week
5–5
Last 10
10–10
Last 20
5 / 16 / 24
ML / totals / spreads
Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started
Model probability vs market break-even
UCLA -22.5 -110 · DraftKings
UCLA covers the spread 100% vs NEV 71.4%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
NEB -7.5 -110 · DraftKings
NEB covers the spread 85.7% vs WASH 28.6%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
ORST -5.5 -115 · FanDuel
ORST covers the spread 85.7% vs FRES 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at FanDuel.
BYU -16.5 -108 · DraftKings
BYU covers the spread 85.7% vs ASU 42.9%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
OKST -9.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
OKST covers the spread 85.7% vs ISU 33.3%. Laying points (-9.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
LT -6.5 -105 · FanDuel
LT covers the spread 85.7% vs USA 57.1%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at FanDuel.
GASO -5.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
GASO covers the spread 85.7% vs APP 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
JMU -19.5 -110 · DraftKings
JMU covers the spread 75% vs TROY 28.6%. Laying points (-19.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
JVST ML -160 · Hard Rock Bet
ML: JVST best -160 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 71.4% vs NMSU 42.9%.
UNT -14.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
UNT covers the spread 71.4% vs FAU 57.1%. Laying points (-14.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
LIB -13.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
LIB covers the spread 71.4% vs FIU 57.1%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
MINN +20.5 -108 · DraftKings
MINN covers the spread 71.4% vs IU 12.5%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
WAKE -12.5 -110 · FanDuel
WAKE covers the spread 71.4% vs UVA 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
UGA -11.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet
UGA covers the spread 71.4% vs FLA 57.1%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
Over 58.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 71% over 58.5. ORST over 85.7% and FRES over 57.1%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
Over 55.5 -104 · FanDuel
Total: Covers consensus 70% over 55.5. ND over 71.4% and NAVY over 71.4%. Best -104 at FanDuel.
Over 56.5 -110 · FanDuel
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 56.5. FLA over 57.1% and UGA over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
Over 60.5 -110 · FanDuel
Total: Covers consensus 67% over 60.5. STAN over 75% and LOU over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
Under 36.5 -110 · FanDuel
Total: Covers consensus 64% under 36.5. WIS under 57.1% and IOWA under 71.4%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
Over 56.5 -110 · DraftKings
Total: Covers consensus 62% over 56.5. UTA over 57.1% and CIN over 71.4%. Best -110 at DraftKings.
Over 76.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 76.5. FAU over 85.7% and UNT over 85.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
Over 48.5 -110 · FanDuel
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 48.5. ASU over 57.1% and BYU over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
Over 46.5 -110 · FanDuel
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 46.5. KSU over 57.1% and COLO over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel.
Over 58.5 -108 · DraftKings
Total: Covers consensus 60% over 58.5. LT over 71.4% and USA over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
Over 53.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 59% over 53.5. ILL over 71.4% and MD over 85.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
ILL ML -135 · DraftKings
ML: ILL best -135 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs MD 28.6%.
MRSH ML -142 · DraftKings
ML: MRSH best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs ODU 25%.
LOU -22.5 -110 · FanDuel
LOU covers the spread 57.1% vs STAN 37.5%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at FanDuel.
UNLV -21.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet
UNLV covers the spread 57.1% vs NIU 14.3%. Laying points (-21.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
USU -7.5 -105 · FanDuel
USU covers the spread 57.1% vs CSU 50%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel.
MSST +20.5 -108 · DraftKings
MSST covers the spread 57.1% vs TEX 28.6%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
Under 41.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 56% under 41.5. MINN under 57.1% and IU under 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
Under 49.5 -108 · DraftKings
Total: Covers consensus 55% under 49.5. CLEM under 57.1% and FSU under 57.1%. Best -108 at DraftKings.
Over 59.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 54% over 59.5. ARMY over 71.4% and MEM over 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
Under 41.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 53% under 41.5. UAB under 85.7% and USF under 57.1%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.
Under 49.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
Total: Covers consensus 52% under 49.5. TEM under 57.1% and ECU under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
PITT -7.5 -110 · DraftKings
PITT covers the spread 50% vs GT 14.3%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
FSU -5.5 -115 · Hard Rock Bet
FSU covers the spread 50% vs CLEM 28.6%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet.
TCU -6.5 -106 · FanDuel
TCU covers the spread 42.9% vs KU 28.6%. Laying points (-6.5); best -106 at FanDuel.
USM -3.5 +100 · Hard Rock Bet
USM covers the spread 42.9% vs ULM 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet.
KSU +2.5 -104 · FanDuel
KSU covers the spread 42.9% vs COLO 28.6%. Taking points (+2.5); best -104 at FanDuel.
NDSU -24.5 -105 · DraftKings
NDSU covers the spread 37.5% vs UTEP 14.3%. Laying points (-24.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
SDSU ML -134 · FanDuel
ML: SDSU best -134 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 37.5% vs WSU 12.5%.
MRSH -2.5 -120 · FanDuel
MRSH covers the spread 28.6% vs ODU 12.5%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel.
USM ML -150 · Hard Rock Bet
ML: USM best -150 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 28.6% vs ULM 14.3%.
| # | Type | Bet | Odds | Book | Cons. % | Score | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread | UCLA -22.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · NEV @ UCLA | -110 | DraftKings | 100.0 | NEV 0–27 UCLA | W | UCLA covers the spread 100% vs NEV 71.4%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 2 | Spread | NEB -7.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · WASH @ NEB | -110 | DraftKings | 85.7 | WASH 17–10 NEB | L | NEB covers the spread 85.7% vs WASH 28.6%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 3 | Spread | ORST -5.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ORST @ FRES | -115 | FanDuel | 85.7 | ORST 22–38 FRES | L | ORST covers the spread 85.7% vs FRES 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at FanDuel. |
| 4 | Spread | BYU -16.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ASU @ BYU | -108 | DraftKings | 85.7 | ASU 20–27 BYU | L | BYU covers the spread 85.7% vs ASU 42.9%. Laying points (-16.5); best -108 at DraftKings. |
| 5 | Spread | OKST -9.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · OKST @ ISU | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 85.7 | OKST 49–51 ISU | L | OKST covers the spread 85.7% vs ISU 33.3%. Laying points (-9.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 6 | Spread | LT -6.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · LT @ USA | -105 | FanDuel | 85.7 | LT 35–20 USA | W | LT covers the spread 85.7% vs USA 57.1%. Laying points (-6.5); best -105 at FanDuel. |
| 7 | Spread | GASO -5.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · APP @ GASO | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 85.7 | APP 3–19 GASO | W | GASO covers the spread 85.7% vs APP 71.4%. Laying points (-5.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 8 | Spread | JMU -19.5 Thursday, Oct 29 · TROY @ JMU | -110 | DraftKings | 75.0 | TROY 24–21 JMU | L | JMU covers the spread 75% vs TROY 28.6%. Laying points (-19.5); best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 9 | ML | JVST ML Wednesday, Oct 28 · JVST @ NMSU | -160 | Hard Rock Bet | 71.4 | no game | pending | ML: JVST best -160 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 71.4% vs NMSU 42.9%. |
| 10 | Spread | UNT -14.5 Thursday, Oct 29 · FAU @ UNT | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 71.4 | FAU 41–48 UNT | L | UNT covers the spread 71.4% vs FAU 57.1%. Laying points (-14.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 11 | Spread | LIB -13.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · FIU @ LIB | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 71.4 | FIU 10–49 LIB | W | LIB covers the spread 71.4% vs FIU 57.1%. Laying points (-13.5); best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 12 | Spread | MINN +20.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · MINN @ IU | -108 | DraftKings | 71.4 | MINN 16–23 IU | W | MINN covers the spread 71.4% vs IU 12.5%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings. |
| 13 | Spread | WAKE -12.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · UVA @ WAKE | -110 | FanDuel | 71.4 | UVA 7–51 WAKE | W | WAKE covers the spread 71.4% vs UVA 42.9%. Laying points (-12.5); best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 14 | Spread | UGA -11.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · FLA @ UGA | -105 | Hard Rock Bet | 71.4 | FLA 8–27 UGA | W | UGA covers the spread 71.4% vs FLA 57.1%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 15 | Total points | Over 58.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ORST @ FRES | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 71.0 | ORST 22–38 FRES (60) | W | Total: Covers consensus 71% over 58.5. ORST over 85.7% and FRES over 57.1%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 16 | Total points | Over 55.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ND @ NAVY | -104 | FanDuel | 70.0 | ND 35–13 NAVY (48) | L | Total: Covers consensus 70% over 55.5. ND over 71.4% and NAVY over 71.4%. Best -104 at FanDuel. |
| 17 | Total points | Over 56.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · FLA @ UGA | -110 | FanDuel | 69.0 | FLA 8–27 UGA (35) | L | Total: Covers consensus 69% over 56.5. FLA over 57.1% and UGA over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 18 | Total points | Over 60.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · STAN @ LOU | -110 | FanDuel | 67.0 | STAN 24–52 LOU (76) | W | Total: Covers consensus 67% over 60.5. STAN over 75% and LOU over 85.7%. Best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 19 | Total points | Under 36.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · WIS @ IOWA | -110 | FanDuel | 64.0 | WIS 0–30 IOWA (30) | W | Total: Covers consensus 64% under 36.5. WIS under 57.1% and IOWA under 71.4%. Best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 20 | Total points | Over 56.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · UTA @ CIN | -110 | DraftKings | 62.0 | UTAH 49–25 CIN (74) | W | Total: Covers consensus 62% over 56.5. UTA over 57.1% and CIN over 71.4%. Best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 21 | Total points | Over 76.5 Thursday, Oct 29 · FAU @ UNT | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 61.0 | FAU 41–48 UNT (89) | W | Total: Covers consensus 61% over 76.5. FAU over 85.7% and UNT over 85.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 22 | Total points | Over 48.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ASU @ BYU | -110 | FanDuel | 61.0 | ASU 20–27 BYU (47) | L | Total: Covers consensus 61% over 48.5. ASU over 57.1% and BYU over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 23 | Total points | Over 46.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · KSU @ COLO | -110 | FanDuel | 61.0 | KSU 24–27 COLO (51) | W | Total: Covers consensus 61% over 46.5. KSU over 57.1% and COLO over 57.1%. Best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 24 | Total points | Over 58.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · LT @ USA | -108 | DraftKings | 60.0 | LT 35–20 USA (55) | L | Total: Covers consensus 60% over 58.5. LT over 71.4% and USA over 71.4%. Best -108 at DraftKings. |
| 25 | Total points | Over 53.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ILL @ MD | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 59.0 | ILL 20–17 MD (37) | L | Total: Covers consensus 59% over 53.5. ILL over 71.4% and MD over 85.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 26 | ML | ILL ML Saturday, Oct 31 · ILL @ MD | -135 | DraftKings | 57.1 | ILL 20–17 MD | W | ML: ILL best -135 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs MD 28.6%. |
| 27 | ML | MRSH ML Saturday, Oct 31 · MRSH @ ODU | -142 | DraftKings | 57.1 | MRSH 36–23 ODU | W | ML: MRSH best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 57.1% vs ODU 25%. |
| 28 | Spread | LOU -22.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · STAN @ LOU | -110 | FanDuel | 57.1 | STAN 24–52 LOU | W | LOU covers the spread 57.1% vs STAN 37.5%. Laying points (-22.5); best -110 at FanDuel. |
| 29 | Spread | UNLV -21.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · NIU @ UNLV | -105 | Hard Rock Bet | 57.1 | NIU 24–31 UNLV | L | UNLV covers the spread 57.1% vs NIU 14.3%. Laying points (-21.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 30 | Spread | USU -7.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · CSU @ USU | -105 | FanDuel | 57.1 | CSU 14–31 USU | W | USU covers the spread 57.1% vs CSU 50%. Laying points (-7.5); best -105 at FanDuel. |
| 31 | Spread | MSST +20.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · MSST @ TEX | -108 | DraftKings | 57.1 | MSST 3–31 TEX | L | MSST covers the spread 57.1% vs TEX 28.6%. Taking points (+20.5); best -108 at DraftKings. |
| 32 | Total points | Under 41.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · MINN @ IU | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 56.0 | MINN 16–23 IU (39) | W | Total: Covers consensus 56% under 41.5. MINN under 57.1% and IU under 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 33 | Total points | Under 49.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · CLEM @ FSU | -108 | DraftKings | 55.0 | CLEM 36–24 FSU (60) | L | Total: Covers consensus 55% under 49.5. CLEM under 57.1% and FSU under 57.1%. Best -108 at DraftKings. |
| 34 | Total points | Over 59.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · ARMY @ MEM | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 54.0 | ARMY 22–49 MEM (71) | W | Total: Covers consensus 54% over 59.5. ARMY over 71.4% and MEM over 62.5%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 35 | Total points | Under 41.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · UAB @ USF | -105 | Hard Rock Bet | 53.0 | UAB 10–30 USF (40) | W | Total: Covers consensus 53% under 41.5. UAB under 85.7% and USF under 57.1%. Best -105 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 36 | Total points | Under 49.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · TEM @ ECU | -110 | Hard Rock Bet | 52.0 | TEM 9–17 ECU (26) | W | Total: Covers consensus 52% under 49.5. TEM under 57.1% and ECU under 71.4%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 37 | Spread | PITT -7.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · GT @ PITT | -110 | DraftKings | 50.0 | GT 11–34 PITT | W | PITT covers the spread 50% vs GT 14.3%. Laying points (-7.5); best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 38 | Spread | FSU -5.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · CLEM @ FSU | -115 | Hard Rock Bet | 50.0 | CLEM 36–24 FSU | L | FSU covers the spread 50% vs CLEM 28.6%. Laying points (-5.5); best -115 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 39 | Spread | TCU -6.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · KU @ TCU | -106 | FanDuel | 42.9 | KU 16–22 TCU | L | TCU covers the spread 42.9% vs KU 28.6%. Laying points (-6.5); best -106 at FanDuel. |
| 40 | Spread | USM -3.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · USM @ ULM | +100 | Hard Rock Bet | 42.9 | USM 35–21 ULM | W | USM covers the spread 42.9% vs ULM 28.6%. Laying points (-3.5); best +100 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 41 | Spread | KSU +2.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · KSU @ COLO | -104 | FanDuel | 42.9 | KSU 24–27 COLO | L | KSU covers the spread 42.9% vs COLO 28.6%. Taking points (+2.5); best -104 at FanDuel. |
| 42 | Spread | NDSU -24.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · UTEP @ NDSU | -105 | DraftKings | 37.5 | UTEP 7–31 NDSU | L | NDSU covers the spread 37.5% vs UTEP 14.3%. Laying points (-24.5); best -105 at DraftKings. |
| 43 | ML | SDSU ML Saturday, Oct 31 · WSU @ SDSU | -134 | FanDuel | 37.5 | WSU 20–26 SDSU | W | ML: SDSU best -134 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 37.5% vs WSU 12.5%. |
| 44 | Spread | MRSH -2.5 Saturday, Oct 31 · MRSH @ ODU | -120 | FanDuel | 28.6 | MRSH 36–23 ODU | W | MRSH covers the spread 28.6% vs ODU 12.5%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel. |
| 45 | ML | USM ML Saturday, Oct 31 · USM @ ULM | -150 | Hard Rock Bet | 28.6 | USM 35–21 ULM | W | ML: USM best -150 (Hard Rock Bet); TeamRankings win% 28.6% vs ULM 14.3%. |
Days: Tuesday, Oct 27 · Wednesday, Oct 28 · Thursday, Oct 29 · Friday, Oct 30 · Saturday, Oct 31
Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.
Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.
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