← NCAAF picks

Week 11

Nov 3 – Nov 4

All NCAAF picks for this week. Graded live from ESPN.

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

0–0

Week

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

2 / 0 / 2

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
BALL @ MASS BALL +3.5
OHIO @ AKR OHIO -12.5
BALL @ MASS MASS ML
CMU @ EMU EMU ML
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread pending

BALL +3.5 -115 · FanDuel

Wednesday, Nov 4 · BALL @ MASS · 62.5%

11/4 - 7:00 PM EST

BALL covers the spread 62.5% vs MASS 50%. Taking points (+3.5); best -115 at FanDuel.

#2 · Spread pending

OHIO -12.5 -105 · DraftKings

Tuesday, Nov 3 · OHIO @ AKR · 50.0%

11/3 - 7:00 PM EST

OHIO covers the spread 50% vs AKR 37.5%. Laying points (-12.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

#3 · ML pending

MASS ML -155 · DraftKings

Wednesday, Nov 4 · BALL @ MASS · 50.0%

11/4 - 7:00 PM EST

ML: MASS best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 50% vs BALL 37.5%.

#4 · ML pending

EMU ML -118 · FanDuel

Wednesday, Nov 4 · CMU @ EMU · 44.4%

11/4 - 7:30 PM EST

ML: EMU best -118 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 44.4% vs CMU 37.5%.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread BALL +3.5 Wednesday, Nov 4 · BALL @ MASS -115 FanDuel 62.5 11/4 - 7:00 PM EST pending BALL covers the spread 62.5% vs MASS 50%. Taking points (+3.5); best -115 at FanDuel.
2 Spread OHIO -12.5 Tuesday, Nov 3 · OHIO @ AKR -105 DraftKings 50.0 11/3 - 7:00 PM EST pending OHIO covers the spread 50% vs AKR 37.5%. Laying points (-12.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
3 ML MASS ML Wednesday, Nov 4 · BALL @ MASS -155 DraftKings 50.0 11/4 - 7:00 PM EST pending ML: MASS best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 50% vs BALL 37.5%.
4 ML EMU ML Wednesday, Nov 4 · CMU @ EMU -118 FanDuel 44.4 11/4 - 7:30 PM EST pending ML: EMU best -118 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 44.4% vs CMU 37.5%.

Days: Tuesday, Nov 3 · Wednesday, Nov 4

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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