Week 11

Nov 3 – Nov 4

All NCAAF picks for this week. Graded live from ESPN.

Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.

Tuesday, Nov 3

11/3 - 7:00 PM EST

OHIO @ AKR

OHIO

AKR

ML pending

OHIO ML -535

DraftKings · 75.0% · lean only (past -160)

ML: OHIO best -535 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 75% vs AKR 12.5%.

Spread pending

OHIO -13.5 -112

DraftKings · 50.0%

OHIO covers the spread 50% vs AKR 37.5%. Laying points (-13.5); best -112 at DraftKings.

Total points

No pick

Tuesday, Nov 3

11/3 - 8:00 PM EST

BUFF @ M-OH

BUFF

M-OH

No pick

Spread

No pick

Total points

No pick

Wednesday, Nov 4

11/4 - 7:00 PM EST

BALL @ MASS

BALL

MASS

ML pending

MASS ML -152

FanDuel · 50.0%

ML: MASS best -152 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 50% vs BALL 37.5%.

Spread

No pick

Total points

No pick

Wednesday, Nov 4

11/4 - 7:00 PM EST

TOL @ SAC

TOL

SAC

No pick

Spread

No pick

Total points

No pick

Wednesday, Nov 4

11/4 - 7:30 PM EST

CMU @ EMU

CMU

EMU

ML pending

EMU ML -118

FanDuel · 44.4%

ML: EMU best -118 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 44.4% vs CMU 37.5%.

Spread

No pick

Total points

No pick

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

0–0

Week

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

2 / 0 / 1

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)

OHIO @ AKR OHIO -13.5

BALL @ MASS MASS ML

CMU @ EMU EMU ML

−110

40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

#1 · Spread pending

OHIO -13.5 -112 · DraftKings

Tuesday, Nov 3 · OHIO @ AKR · 50.0%

11/3 - 7:00 PM EST

OHIO covers the spread 50% vs AKR 37.5%. Laying points (-13.5); best -112 at DraftKings.

#2 · ML pending

MASS ML -152 · FanDuel

Wednesday, Nov 4 · BALL @ MASS · 50.0%

11/4 - 7:00 PM EST

ML: MASS best -152 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 50% vs BALL 37.5%.

#3 · ML pending

EMU ML -118 · FanDuel

Wednesday, Nov 4 · CMU @ EMU · 44.4%

11/4 - 7:30 PM EST

ML: EMU best -118 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 44.4% vs CMU 37.5%.

#	Type	Bet	Odds	Book	Cons. %	Score	Result	Why
1	Spread	OHIO -13.5 Tuesday, Nov 3 · OHIO @ AKR	-112	DraftKings	50.0	11/3 - 7:00 PM EST	pending	OHIO covers the spread 50% vs AKR 37.5%. Laying points (-13.5); best -112 at DraftKings.
2	ML	MASS ML Wednesday, Nov 4 · BALL @ MASS	-152	FanDuel	50.0	11/4 - 7:00 PM EST	pending	ML: MASS best -152 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 50% vs BALL 37.5%.
3	ML	EMU ML Wednesday, Nov 4 · CMU @ EMU	-118	FanDuel	44.4	11/4 - 7:30 PM EST	pending	ML: EMU best -118 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 44.4% vs CMU 37.5%.

Days: Tuesday, Nov 3 · Wednesday, Nov 4

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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