← NFL picks
·
Week 7
Sunday, Oct 25
Priced Oct 25, 2026, 4:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.
Overnight recap: 6–10
Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.
ML
W
PIT ML
-158
FanDuel
· 66.7%
ML: PIT best -158 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs NO 33.3%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 43.5
-105
DraftKings
· 61.0%
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 43.5. PIT over 66.7% and NO over 66.7%. Best -105 at DraftKings.
ML
No pick
Spread
W
CIN -2.5
-120
FanDuel
· 40.0%
CIN covers the spread 40% vs BAL 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel.
Total points
No pick
ML
W
CLE ML
-130
DraftKings
· 66.7%
ML: CLE best -130 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs TEN 16.7%.
Spread
W
CLE -1.5
-110
DraftKings
· 66.7%
CLE covers the spread 66.7% vs TEN 50%. Laying points (-1.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
Total points
No pick
ML
W
MIN ML
-325
DraftKings
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: MIN best -325 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 100% vs IND 33.3%.
Spread
L
MIN -6.5
-115
DraftKings
· 80.0%
MIN covers the spread 80% vs IND 50%. Laying points (-6.5); best -115 at DraftKings.
Total points
No pick
ML
L
NYJ ML
-210
FanDuel
· 33.3%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: NYJ best -210 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 33.3% vs MIA 0%.
Spread
L
NYJ -4.5
-110
DraftKings
· 80.0%
NYJ covers the spread 80% vs MIA 40%. Laying points (-4.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
Total points
L
Under 39.5
-110
Hard Rock Bet
· 67.0%
Total: Covers consensus 67% under 39.5. MIA under 60% and NYJ under 66.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
ML
No pick
Spread
W
NYG +10.5
-112
DraftKings
· 66.7%
NYG covers the spread 66.7% vs HOU 33.3%. Taking points (+10.5); best -112 at DraftKings.
Total points
No pick
ML
L
SF ML
-142
DraftKings
· 100.0%
ML: SF best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 100% vs ATL 33.3%.
Spread
L
SF -2.5
-115
DraftKings
· 66.7%
SF covers the spread 66.7% vs ATL 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -115 at DraftKings.
Total points
No pick
ML
L
CAR ML
-155
DraftKings
· 60.0%
ML: CAR best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 60% vs TB 16.7%.
Spread
L
CAR -2.5
-122
FanDuel
· 60.0%
CAR covers the spread 60% vs TB 16.7%. Laying points (-2.5); best -122 at FanDuel.
Total points
No pick
ML
W
DEN ML
-225
DraftKings
· 66.7%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: DEN best -225 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs ARI 33.3%.
Spread
W
DEN -4.5
-108
FanDuel
· 66.7%
DEN covers the spread 66.7% vs ARI 50%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at FanDuel.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
L
LV +3.5
-120
FanDuel
· 83.3%
LV covers the spread 83.3% vs LA 33.3%. Taking points (+3.5); best -120 at FanDuel.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
L
KC +2.5
+100
FanDuel
· 60.0%
KC covers the spread 60% vs SEA 25%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel.
Total points
No pick
No picks for this day.
Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).
4 / 2 / 10
ML / totals / spreads
Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started
Model probability vs market break-even
Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads)
Market break-even
Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
SF @ ATL SF ML
LA @ LV LV +3.5
MIA @ NYJ NYJ -4.5
IND @ MIN MIN -6.5
MIA @ NYJ Under 39.5
CLE @ TEN CLE ML
CLE @ TEN CLE -1.5
NYG @ HOU NYG +10.5
SF @ ATL SF -2.5
PIT @ NO PIT ML
DEN @ ARI DEN -4.5
PIT @ NO Over 43.5
TB @ CAR CAR ML
TB @ CAR CAR -2.5
KC @ SEA KC +2.5
CIN @ BAL CIN -2.5
#1 · ML
L
SF ML -142 · DraftKings
SF @ ATL
· 100.0%
SF 20–29 ATL
ML: SF best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 100% vs ATL 33.3%.
#2 · Spread
L
LV +3.5 -120 · FanDuel
LA @ LV
· 83.3%
LAR 35–21 LV
LV covers the spread 83.3% vs LA 33.3%. Taking points (+3.5); best -120 at FanDuel.
#3 · Spread
L
NYJ -4.5 -110 · DraftKings
MIA @ NYJ
· 80.0%
MIA 28–25 NYJ
NYJ covers the spread 80% vs MIA 40%. Laying points (-4.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
#4 · Spread
L
MIN -6.5 -115 · DraftKings
IND @ MIN
· 80.0%
IND 10–16 MIN
MIN covers the spread 80% vs IND 50%. Laying points (-6.5); best -115 at DraftKings.
#5 · Total points
L
Under 39.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet
MIA @ NYJ
· 67.0%
MIA 28–25 NYJ (53)
Total: Covers consensus 67% under 39.5. MIA under 60% and NYJ under 66.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
#6 · ML
W
CLE ML -130 · DraftKings
CLE @ TEN
· 66.7%
CLE 27–24 TEN
ML: CLE best -130 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs TEN 16.7%.
#7 · Spread
W
CLE -1.5 -110 · DraftKings
CLE @ TEN
· 66.7%
CLE 27–24 TEN
CLE covers the spread 66.7% vs TEN 50%. Laying points (-1.5); best -110 at DraftKings.
#8 · Spread
W
NYG +10.5 -112 · DraftKings
NYG @ HOU
· 66.7%
NYG 27–21 HOU
NYG covers the spread 66.7% vs HOU 33.3%. Taking points (+10.5); best -112 at DraftKings.
#9 · Spread
L
SF -2.5 -115 · DraftKings
SF @ ATL
· 66.7%
SF 20–29 ATL
SF covers the spread 66.7% vs ATL 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -115 at DraftKings.
#10 · ML
W
PIT ML -158 · FanDuel
PIT @ NO
· 66.7%
PIT 16–10 NO
ML: PIT best -158 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs NO 33.3%.
#11 · Spread
W
DEN -4.5 -108 · FanDuel
DEN @ ARI
· 66.7%
DEN 30–16 ARI
DEN covers the spread 66.7% vs ARI 50%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at FanDuel.
#12 · Total points
L
Over 43.5 -105 · DraftKings
PIT @ NO
· 61.0%
PIT 16–10 NO (26)
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 43.5. PIT over 66.7% and NO over 66.7%. Best -105 at DraftKings.
#13 · ML
L
CAR ML -155 · DraftKings
TB @ CAR
· 60.0%
TB 43–13 CAR
ML: CAR best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 60% vs TB 16.7%.
#14 · Spread
L
CAR -2.5 -122 · FanDuel
TB @ CAR
· 60.0%
TB 43–13 CAR
CAR covers the spread 60% vs TB 16.7%. Laying points (-2.5); best -122 at FanDuel.
#15 · Spread
L
KC +2.5 +100 · FanDuel
KC @ SEA
· 60.0%
KC 3–20 SEA
KC covers the spread 60% vs SEA 25%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel.
#16 · Spread
W
CIN -2.5 -120 · FanDuel
CIN @ BAL
· 40.0%
CIN 35–13 BAL
CIN covers the spread 40% vs BAL 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel.
| # |
Type |
Bet |
Odds |
Book |
Cons. % |
Score |
Result |
Why |
| 1 |
ML |
SF ML
SF @ ATL
|
-142 |
DraftKings |
100.0 |
SF 20–29 ATL |
L
|
ML: SF best -142 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 100% vs ATL 33.3%. |
| 2 |
Spread |
LV +3.5
LA @ LV
|
-120 |
FanDuel |
83.3 |
LAR 35–21 LV |
L
|
LV covers the spread 83.3% vs LA 33.3%. Taking points (+3.5); best -120 at FanDuel. |
| 3 |
Spread |
NYJ -4.5
MIA @ NYJ
|
-110 |
DraftKings |
80.0 |
MIA 28–25 NYJ |
L
|
NYJ covers the spread 80% vs MIA 40%. Laying points (-4.5); best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 4 |
Spread |
MIN -6.5
IND @ MIN
|
-115 |
DraftKings |
80.0 |
IND 10–16 MIN |
L
|
MIN covers the spread 80% vs IND 50%. Laying points (-6.5); best -115 at DraftKings. |
| 5 |
Total points |
Under 39.5
MIA @ NYJ
|
-110 |
Hard Rock Bet |
67.0 |
MIA 28–25 NYJ (53) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 67% under 39.5. MIA under 60% and NYJ under 66.7%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet. |
| 6 |
ML |
CLE ML
CLE @ TEN
|
-130 |
DraftKings |
66.7 |
CLE 27–24 TEN |
W
|
ML: CLE best -130 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs TEN 16.7%. |
| 7 |
Spread |
CLE -1.5
CLE @ TEN
|
-110 |
DraftKings |
66.7 |
CLE 27–24 TEN |
W
|
CLE covers the spread 66.7% vs TEN 50%. Laying points (-1.5); best -110 at DraftKings. |
| 8 |
Spread |
NYG +10.5
NYG @ HOU
|
-112 |
DraftKings |
66.7 |
NYG 27–21 HOU |
W
|
NYG covers the spread 66.7% vs HOU 33.3%. Taking points (+10.5); best -112 at DraftKings. |
| 9 |
Spread |
SF -2.5
SF @ ATL
|
-115 |
DraftKings |
66.7 |
SF 20–29 ATL |
L
|
SF covers the spread 66.7% vs ATL 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -115 at DraftKings. |
| 10 |
ML |
PIT ML
PIT @ NO
|
-158 |
FanDuel |
66.7 |
PIT 16–10 NO |
W
|
ML: PIT best -158 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs NO 33.3%. |
| 11 |
Spread |
DEN -4.5
DEN @ ARI
|
-108 |
FanDuel |
66.7 |
DEN 30–16 ARI |
W
|
DEN covers the spread 66.7% vs ARI 50%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at FanDuel. |
| 12 |
Total points |
Over 43.5
PIT @ NO
|
-105 |
DraftKings |
61.0 |
PIT 16–10 NO (26) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 43.5. PIT over 66.7% and NO over 66.7%. Best -105 at DraftKings. |
| 13 |
ML |
CAR ML
TB @ CAR
|
-155 |
DraftKings |
60.0 |
TB 43–13 CAR |
L
|
ML: CAR best -155 (DraftKings); TeamRankings win% 60% vs TB 16.7%. |
| 14 |
Spread |
CAR -2.5
TB @ CAR
|
-122 |
FanDuel |
60.0 |
TB 43–13 CAR |
L
|
CAR covers the spread 60% vs TB 16.7%. Laying points (-2.5); best -122 at FanDuel. |
| 15 |
Spread |
KC +2.5
KC @ SEA
|
+100 |
FanDuel |
60.0 |
KC 3–20 SEA |
L
|
KC covers the spread 60% vs SEA 25%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel. |
| 16 |
Spread |
CIN -2.5
CIN @ BAL
|
-120 |
FanDuel |
40.0 |
CIN 35–13 BAL |
W
|
CIN covers the spread 40% vs BAL 33.3%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at FanDuel. |
No picks match this filter.
Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.
Odds and consensus from Covers.com.
ATS from TeamRankings.
Finals from ESPN.
Not affiliated with those sites.
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