← NCAAF picks
·
Week 3
Saturday, Sep 12
Priced Sep 10, 2026, 4:42 PM ET. Graded live from ESPN.
Overnight recap: 16–14
Every game stays on the slate. ML, total, and spread when signals stack — best book price. Otherwise the market stays blank.
ML
No pick
Spread
W
APP +6.5
-110
Best available
· 100.0%
APP covers the spread 100% vs ECU 0%. Taking points (+6.5) at -110.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
W
Over 50.5
-111
Best available
· 58.0%
Total: Covers consensus 58% over 50.5. WAKE over 100% and PUR over 100%.
ML
W
KSU ML
-850
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: KSU priced -850; TeamRankings win% 100% vs WSU 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
W
Over 52.5
-110
Best available
· 79.0%
Total: Covers consensus 79% over 52.5. WKU over 100% and UGA over 100%.
ML
L
ORE ML
-2100
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: ORE priced -2100; TeamRankings win% 100% vs OKST 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
L
SYR ML
-180
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: SYR priced -180; TeamRankings win% 100% vs CAL 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 66.5
-108
Best available
· 52.0%
Total: Covers consensus 52% over 66.5. CAL over 100% and SYR over 100%.
ML
W
MSU ML
-900
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: MSU priced -900; TeamRankings win% 100% vs EMU 50%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 52.5
-108
Best available
· 61.0%
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 52.5. MD over 100% and CONN over 100%.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 52.5
-123
Best available
· 51.0%
Total: Covers consensus 51% over 52.5. MSST over 100% and MINN over 100%.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 57.5
-106
Best available
· 64.0%
Total: Covers consensus 64% over 57.5. UCF over 100% and PITT over 100%.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 56.5
-112
Best available
· 58.0%
Total: Covers consensus 58% over 56.5. ULM over 100% and UAB over 100%.
ML
W
WASH ML
-4500
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: WASH priced -4500; TeamRankings win% 100% vs USU 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
W
Under 56.5
-124
Best available
· 59.0%
Total: Covers consensus 59% under 56.5. USU under 100% and WASH under 100%.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 65.5
-112
Best available
· 51.0%
Total: Covers consensus 51% over 65.5. UTSA over 100% and TXST over 100%.
ML
L
UNLV ML
-162
Best available
· 50.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: UNLV priced -162; TeamRankings win% 50% vs UNT 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Under 53.5
-129
Best available
· 55.0%
Total: Covers consensus 55% under 53.5. DEL under 100% and VAN under 100%.
ML
W
NEB ML
-6500
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: NEB priced -6500; TeamRankings win% 100% vs BGSU 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
W
TENN ML
-450
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: TENN priced -450; TeamRankings win% 100% vs GT 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
W
TLSA ML
-535
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: TLSA priced -535; TeamRankings win% 100% vs SHSU 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
W
USA +9.5
-105
Best available
· 100.0%
USA covers the spread 100% vs TULN 0%. Taking points (+9.5) at -105.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
L
Over 52.5
-120
Best available
· 61.0%
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 52.5. SDSU over 100% and UCLA over 100%.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
W
Under 41.5
-108
Best available
· 54.0%
Total: Covers consensus 54% under 41.5. ISU under 100% and IOWA under 100%.
ML
No pick
Spread
No pick
Total points
W
Over 55.5
-112
Best available
· 69.0%
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 55.5. LT over 100% and LSU over 100%.
ML
L
NAVY ML
-218
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: NAVY priced -218; TeamRankings win% 100% vs FAU 0%.
Spread
No pick
Total points
No pick
ML
W
TTU ML
-3200
Best available
· 100.0%
· lean only (past -160)
ML: TTU priced -3200; TeamRankings win% 100% vs ORST 0%.
Spread
W
ORST +26.5
-120
Best available
· 100.0%
ORST covers the spread 100% vs TTU 0%. Taking points (+26.5) at -120.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
L
USM +33.5
-110
Best available
· 100.0%
USM covers the spread 100% vs AUB 0%. Taking points (+33.5) at -110.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
W
GASO +20.5
-112
Best available
· 100.0%
GASO covers the spread 100% vs CLEM 0%. Taking points (+20.5) at -112.
Total points
No pick
ML
No pick
Spread
L
AFA +1.5
-105
Best available
· 100.0%
AFA covers the spread 100% vs NDSU 50%. Taking points (+1.5) at -105.
Total points
No pick
No picks for this day.
Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).
0 / 13 / 6
ML / totals / spreads
Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started
Model probability vs market break-even
Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads)
Market break-even
Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
APP @ ECU APP +6.5
USM @ AUB USM +33.5
TTU @ ORST ORST +26.5
NDSU @ AFA AFA +1.5
GASO @ CLEM GASO +20.5
USA @ TULN USA +9.5
WKU @ UGA Over 52.5
LT @ LSU Over 55.5
UCF @ PITT Over 57.5
MD @ CONN Over 52.5
SDSU @ UCLA Over 52.5
USU @ WASH Under 56.5
ULM @ UAB Over 56.5
WAKE @ PUR Over 50.5
DEL @ VAN Under 53.5
ISU @ IOWA Under 41.5
CAL @ SYR Over 66.5
UTSA @ TXST Over 65.5
MSST @ MINN Over 52.5
#1 · Spread
W
APP +6.5 -110
APP @ ECU
· 100.0%
APP 27–24 ECU
APP covers the spread 100% vs ECU 0%. Taking points (+6.5) at -110.
#2 · Spread
L
USM +33.5 -110
USM @ AUB
· 100.0%
USM 8–43 AUB
USM covers the spread 100% vs AUB 0%. Taking points (+33.5) at -110.
#3 · Spread
W
ORST +26.5 -120
TTU @ ORST
· 100.0%
TTU 35–24 ORST
ORST covers the spread 100% vs TTU 0%. Taking points (+26.5) at -120.
#4 · Spread
L
AFA +1.5 -105
NDSU @ AFA
· 100.0%
NDSU 38–32 AFA
AFA covers the spread 100% vs NDSU 50%. Taking points (+1.5) at -105.
#5 · Spread
W
GASO +20.5 -112
GASO @ CLEM
· 100.0%
GASO 7–22 CLEM
GASO covers the spread 100% vs CLEM 0%. Taking points (+20.5) at -112.
#6 · Spread
W
USA +9.5 -105
USA @ TULN
· 100.0%
USA 24–28 TULN
USA covers the spread 100% vs TULN 0%. Taking points (+9.5) at -105.
#7 · Total points
W
Over 52.5 -110
WKU @ UGA
· 79.0%
WKU 20–70 UGA (90)
Total: Covers consensus 79% over 52.5. WKU over 100% and UGA over 100%.
#8 · Total points
W
Over 55.5 -112
LT @ LSU
· 69.0%
LT 14–45 LSU (59)
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 55.5. LT over 100% and LSU over 100%.
#9 · Total points
L
Over 57.5 -106
UCF @ PITT
· 64.0%
UCF 7–12 PITT (19)
Total: Covers consensus 64% over 57.5. UCF over 100% and PITT over 100%.
#10 · Total points
L
Over 52.5 -108
MD @ CONN
· 61.0%
MD 38–14 CONN (52)
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 52.5. MD over 100% and CONN over 100%.
#11 · Total points
L
Over 52.5 -120
SDSU @ UCLA
· 61.0%
SDSU 10–28 UCLA (38)
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 52.5. SDSU over 100% and UCLA over 100%.
#12 · Total points
W
Under 56.5 -124
USU @ WASH
· 59.0%
USU 14–16 WASH (30)
Total: Covers consensus 59% under 56.5. USU under 100% and WASH under 100%.
#13 · Total points
L
Over 56.5 -112
ULM @ UAB
· 58.0%
ULM 20–26 UAB (46)
Total: Covers consensus 58% over 56.5. ULM over 100% and UAB over 100%.
#14 · Total points
W
Over 50.5 -111
WAKE @ PUR
· 58.0%
WAKE 38–36 PUR (74)
Total: Covers consensus 58% over 50.5. WAKE over 100% and PUR over 100%.
#15 · Total points
L
Under 53.5 -129
DEL @ VAN
· 55.0%
DEL 26–35 VAN (61)
Total: Covers consensus 55% under 53.5. DEL under 100% and VAN under 100%.
#16 · Total points
W
Under 41.5 -108
ISU @ IOWA
· 54.0%
ISU 13–16 IOWA (29)
Total: Covers consensus 54% under 41.5. ISU under 100% and IOWA under 100%.
#17 · Total points
L
Over 66.5 -108
CAL @ SYR
· 52.0%
CAL 21–18 SYR (39)
Total: Covers consensus 52% over 66.5. CAL over 100% and SYR over 100%.
#18 · Total points
L
Over 65.5 -112
UTSA @ TXST
· 51.0%
UTSA 31–26 TXST (57)
Total: Covers consensus 51% over 65.5. UTSA over 100% and TXST over 100%.
#19 · Total points
L
Over 52.5 -123
MSST @ MINN
· 51.0%
MSST 38–13 MINN (51)
Total: Covers consensus 51% over 52.5. MSST over 100% and MINN over 100%.
| # |
Type |
Bet |
Odds |
Book |
Cons. % |
Score |
Result |
Why |
| 1 |
Spread |
APP +6.5
APP @ ECU
|
-110 |
— |
100.0 |
APP 27–24 ECU |
W
|
APP covers the spread 100% vs ECU 0%. Taking points (+6.5) at -110. |
| 2 |
Spread |
USM +33.5
USM @ AUB
|
-110 |
— |
100.0 |
USM 8–43 AUB |
L
|
USM covers the spread 100% vs AUB 0%. Taking points (+33.5) at -110. |
| 3 |
Spread |
ORST +26.5
TTU @ ORST
|
-120 |
— |
100.0 |
TTU 35–24 ORST |
W
|
ORST covers the spread 100% vs TTU 0%. Taking points (+26.5) at -120. |
| 4 |
Spread |
AFA +1.5
NDSU @ AFA
|
-105 |
— |
100.0 |
NDSU 38–32 AFA |
L
|
AFA covers the spread 100% vs NDSU 50%. Taking points (+1.5) at -105. |
| 5 |
Spread |
GASO +20.5
GASO @ CLEM
|
-112 |
— |
100.0 |
GASO 7–22 CLEM |
W
|
GASO covers the spread 100% vs CLEM 0%. Taking points (+20.5) at -112. |
| 6 |
Spread |
USA +9.5
USA @ TULN
|
-105 |
— |
100.0 |
USA 24–28 TULN |
W
|
USA covers the spread 100% vs TULN 0%. Taking points (+9.5) at -105. |
| 7 |
Total points |
Over 52.5
WKU @ UGA
|
-110 |
— |
79.0 |
WKU 20–70 UGA (90) |
W
|
Total: Covers consensus 79% over 52.5. WKU over 100% and UGA over 100%. |
| 8 |
Total points |
Over 55.5
LT @ LSU
|
-112 |
— |
69.0 |
LT 14–45 LSU (59) |
W
|
Total: Covers consensus 69% over 55.5. LT over 100% and LSU over 100%. |
| 9 |
Total points |
Over 57.5
UCF @ PITT
|
-106 |
— |
64.0 |
UCF 7–12 PITT (19) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 64% over 57.5. UCF over 100% and PITT over 100%. |
| 10 |
Total points |
Over 52.5
MD @ CONN
|
-108 |
— |
61.0 |
MD 38–14 CONN (52) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 52.5. MD over 100% and CONN over 100%. |
| 11 |
Total points |
Over 52.5
SDSU @ UCLA
|
-120 |
— |
61.0 |
SDSU 10–28 UCLA (38) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 61% over 52.5. SDSU over 100% and UCLA over 100%. |
| 12 |
Total points |
Under 56.5
USU @ WASH
|
-124 |
— |
59.0 |
USU 14–16 WASH (30) |
W
|
Total: Covers consensus 59% under 56.5. USU under 100% and WASH under 100%. |
| 13 |
Total points |
Over 56.5
ULM @ UAB
|
-112 |
— |
58.0 |
ULM 20–26 UAB (46) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 58% over 56.5. ULM over 100% and UAB over 100%. |
| 14 |
Total points |
Over 50.5
WAKE @ PUR
|
-111 |
— |
58.0 |
WAKE 38–36 PUR (74) |
W
|
Total: Covers consensus 58% over 50.5. WAKE over 100% and PUR over 100%. |
| 15 |
Total points |
Under 53.5
DEL @ VAN
|
-129 |
— |
55.0 |
DEL 26–35 VAN (61) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 55% under 53.5. DEL under 100% and VAN under 100%. |
| 16 |
Total points |
Under 41.5
ISU @ IOWA
|
-108 |
— |
54.0 |
ISU 13–16 IOWA (29) |
W
|
Total: Covers consensus 54% under 41.5. ISU under 100% and IOWA under 100%. |
| 17 |
Total points |
Over 66.5
CAL @ SYR
|
-108 |
— |
52.0 |
CAL 21–18 SYR (39) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 52% over 66.5. CAL over 100% and SYR over 100%. |
| 18 |
Total points |
Over 65.5
UTSA @ TXST
|
-112 |
— |
51.0 |
UTSA 31–26 TXST (57) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 51% over 65.5. UTSA over 100% and TXST over 100%. |
| 19 |
Total points |
Over 52.5
MSST @ MINN
|
-123 |
— |
51.0 |
MSST 38–13 MINN (51) |
L
|
Total: Covers consensus 51% over 52.5. MSST over 100% and MINN over 100%. |
No picks match this filter.
Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.
Odds and consensus from Covers.com.
ATS from TeamRankings.
Finals from ESPN.
Not affiliated with those sites.
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