← NCAAF picks · Week 7

Friday, Oct 9

Priced Oct 9, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 2–2

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

2–2

Day

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

0 / 2 / 2

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
IOWA @ WASH Under 41.5
WYO @ SJSU SJSU -4.5
IOWA @ WASH IOWA +2.5
WYO @ SJSU Under 42.5
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Total points L

Under 41.5 -110 · Hard Rock Bet

IOWA @ WASH · 62.0%

IOWA 41–24 WASH (65)

Total: Covers consensus 62% under 41.5. IOWA under 80% and WASH under 60%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.

#2 · Spread L

SJSU -4.5 -108 · DraftKings

WYO @ SJSU · 60.0%

WYO 16–13 SJSU

SJSU covers the spread 60% vs WYO 20%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at DraftKings.

#3 · Spread W

IOWA +2.5 +100 · FanDuel

IOWA @ WASH · 60.0%

IOWA 41–24 WASH

IOWA covers the spread 60% vs WASH 20%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel.

#4 · Total points W

Under 42.5 -108 · DraftKings

WYO @ SJSU · 55.0%

WYO 16–13 SJSU (29)

Total: Covers consensus 55% under 42.5. WYO under 80% and SJSU under 80%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Total points Under 41.5 IOWA @ WASH -110 Hard Rock Bet 62.0 IOWA 41–24 WASH (65) L Total: Covers consensus 62% under 41.5. IOWA under 80% and WASH under 60%. Best -110 at Hard Rock Bet.
2 Spread SJSU -4.5 WYO @ SJSU -108 DraftKings 60.0 WYO 16–13 SJSU L SJSU covers the spread 60% vs WYO 20%. Laying points (-4.5); best -108 at DraftKings.
3 Spread IOWA +2.5 IOWA @ WASH +100 FanDuel 60.0 IOWA 41–24 WASH W IOWA covers the spread 60% vs WASH 20%. Taking points (+2.5); best +100 at FanDuel.
4 Total points Under 42.5 WYO @ SJSU -108 DraftKings 55.0 WYO 16–13 SJSU (29) W Total: Covers consensus 55% under 42.5. WYO under 80% and SJSU under 80%. Best -108 at DraftKings.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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