← NCAAF picks · Week 9

Tuesday, Oct 20

Priced Oct 20, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 0–2

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

0–2

Day

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

1 / 0 / 1

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
USA @ MRSH USA ML
USA @ MRSH USA -2.5
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · ML L

USA ML -152 · FanDuel

USA @ MRSH · 66.7%

USA 13–20 MRSH

ML: USA best -152 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs MRSH 50%.

#2 · Spread L

USA -2.5 -120 · Hard Rock Bet

USA @ MRSH · 66.7%

USA 13–20 MRSH

USA covers the spread 66.7% vs MRSH 16.7%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at Hard Rock Bet.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 ML USA ML USA @ MRSH -152 FanDuel 66.7 USA 13–20 MRSH L ML: USA best -152 (FanDuel); TeamRankings win% 66.7% vs MRSH 50%.
2 Spread USA -2.5 USA @ MRSH -120 Hard Rock Bet 66.7 USA 13–20 MRSH L USA covers the spread 66.7% vs MRSH 16.7%. Laying points (-2.5); best -120 at Hard Rock Bet.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.