← NCAAF picks · Week 9

Thursday, Oct 22

Priced Oct 22, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. Graded live from ESPN.

Overnight recap: 0–2

Actionable leans priced -160 or better (best book).

0–2

Day

5–5

Last 10

10–10

Last 20

0 / 0 / 2

ML / totals / spreads

Green wins · red losses · amber live/push · gray not started

Model probability vs market break-even

Model (Covers consensus · ATS on spreads) Market break-even Typical −110 break-even (52.4%)
JMU @ APP JMU -11.5
ECU @ MEM MEM -10.5
−110
40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
#1 · Spread L

JMU -11.5 -105 · DraftKings

JMU @ APP · 85.7%

JMU 31–34 APP

JMU covers the spread 85.7% vs APP 66.7%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at DraftKings.

#2 · Spread L

MEM -10.5 -105 · Hard Rock Bet

ECU @ MEM · 57.1%

ECU 34–41 MEM

MEM covers the spread 57.1% vs ECU 33.3%. Laying points (-10.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

# Type Bet Odds Book Cons. % Score Result Why
1 Spread JMU -11.5 JMU @ APP -105 DraftKings 85.7 JMU 31–34 APP L JMU covers the spread 85.7% vs APP 66.7%. Laying points (-11.5); best -105 at DraftKings.
2 Spread MEM -10.5 ECU @ MEM -105 Hard Rock Bet 57.1 ECU 34–41 MEM L MEM covers the spread 57.1% vs ECU 33.3%. Laying points (-10.5); best -105 at Hard Rock Bet.

Research card, not betting advice. 21+. Confirm starters. Sporterie grades published cards against ESPN box scores.

Odds and consensus from Covers.com. ATS from TeamRankings. Finals from ESPN. Not affiliated with those sites.

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